No Southern Strategy: The Political Ramifications of an Alternate 1964 Election

Update 1: 1964 Presidential election
  • The political world was shocked as two Southern Democratic Governors, Ross Barnett of Mississippi and George Wallace of Alabama, teamed up to revive the States Rights Democratic Party label on August 17th. Johnson himself dismissed them as fools, but privately worried about how far their popularity in the South could go. The passage of the Civil Rights Act of 1964 in July had met with resistance from twenty Southern Democratic Senators, with only one in favor (Senator Yarborough from Johnson's Texas), and with resistance from eighty-seven Southern Democratic Representatives, compared to only seven in favor.

    Some speculated Johnson would lose not only the South, but the whole election. The fears of 1948 deadlocking the Presidential election, and forcing both Democratic and Republicans to kowtow to the demands of Dixie were all to real throughout the next three months, and then election day came. Barnett might not have been a particularly inspiring candidate, but his running mate Wallace made up for it with loud theatrical displays, shown across the nation, where he attacked Johnson, the Civil Rights Act, and even the late President Kennedy.

    The polls and speculation showed every kind of map under the sun. "Johnson loses Texas!" "Goldwater wins 400 E. votes!" "Electoral College to be Deadlocked!" "Goldwater to lose Arizona, rest of west!" were just a few headlines that ran across August, September, October, and early November. The amount of effort poured into beating Goldwater was nearly eclipsed by that poured into holding the once Solid South.

    No one, not the President nor any of the major news organisations, could believe what the results were at first.

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    Despite their hard campaigning, it was revealed the support for the Dixiecrats was more akin to a few deep puddles then an ocean. Interestingly, they won the exact same 4 states as previous Dixiecrat challenger, Strom Thurmond, did in 1948. Thurmond was one of a few Southerners who not only endorsed them, but worked in getting them his states votes. They won more then three times the popular vote as he did, doing better in nearly every Southern state that Thurmond didn't win sixteen years ago, but they could only win these same four states. Lousiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and South Carolina. The states Johnson won in the South, sans Georgia where Goldwater made decent inroads, he won by a strong margin.

    Barry Goldwater became the first major party nominee to lose every single state in the country. Even his home state Arizona voted against him by a margin of just 137 votes. Even in 1936, the last time a Democrat had won both over 500 electoral votes and his opponents state, the Republican's had at least won a couple of states in their tradition bastion of New England. Not so this year. Goldwater did not run for his Senate seat, which was narrowly won by fellow Republican Paul Fannin, and after the stress of this campaign he decided not to fight his way back to office after Carl Hayden retired in 1968. Longtime Goldwater ally Stephen Shadegg instead contested the election and won that seat.

    Johnson, meanwhile, had the satisfaction of further emulating FDR. He had a ubiquitous set of initials, a massive victory over his opponents, and now all he had to do was win a foreign war and get some liberal legislation out. Things were looking very good for Lyndon Johnson right then and there.
     
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    Update 2: 1965 NYC mayoral election
  • Things appeared to be going well for the Republican Party, especially in New York City. The party which had now seemingly bounced back from it's crushing and humiliating defeat the year before now seemed poised to take the Mayoral election decisively for the first time since Fiorello LaGuardia nearly two decades before. The party had nominated the handsome, liberal, clean and somewhat competent John Lindsay - surely the people of the Big Apple would flock to this ideal candidate?

    Lindsay also seemed certain to gain the Liberal Party nomination due to no one of any real name recognition running for the nomination besides the odd perennial candidates. The Democrats had surprisingly snubbed City Comptroller in favour of the liberal 'real Democrat' Lawrence E. Gerosa who had ran on the 'Citizens' third party ticket last time round. The Republican candidate appeared to be slowly shuffling towards the finish line as the Democratic Party descended into a round of infighting between conservatives and liberals.

    The entry of two big name candidates into the Liberal and Conservative nominations helped to turn the race on it's head. Conservative author and commentator, William F. Buckley announced he would be running on the newly founded Conservative Party of New York State ticket. The entry from the political wilderness and hibernation of Franklin Delano Roosevelt, Jr. helped ensure that Lindsay would lose the Liberal Party' backing (he lost it to FDR, Jr. by a 52-47-1 margin.)

    Lindsay and the Republicans hurriedly shifted their campaign to the centre and painted Lindsay as the moderate middle of the road candidate as opposed to the other three candidates who were painted by the Lindsay campaign as dangerous demagogues. Buckley continued to climb in polls when he attacked Lindsay in the debates and performed well by sticking to his message of relieving traffic congestion by introducing a congestion charge for cars to enter the city and a network of bike lanes helped win him some plaudits.

    Buckley avoided the unusual campaign style he initially opted for which essentially would kill off most votes by stating he had no intention to win. Instead Buckley maintained his message attacking Lindsay’s move to set up a civilian review board for the New York Police Department.

    Polls showed that Buckley and Lindsay had separated from the other two candidates - some polls, newspapers and pundits predicted a very close race. In the end the margin of victory was larger than expected; but Buckley still felt vindicated in restoring momentum to the conservative movement after being shut out of the electoral college a mere year before.

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    Lindsay was victorious in three of the five boroughs of the city - winning Queens, Manhattan and (rather surprisingly due to vote splitting) Brooklyn. Buckley won Statsen Island by a mere few hundred votes over Lindsay while Gerosa won the traditionally Democratic Bronx borough.

    Lindsay and the Republicans could wipe the sweat away for now; but the Conservatives would be back and next time they could have a winning candidate; in the form of Bill Buckley’s attorney brother James.
     
    Update 3: 1968 Presidential election
  • The Johnson Administration was winding down and not in the best of shapes. Widespread unpopularity, an embarrassing loss in the primaries to Eugene McCarthy, and President himself not too sure he could win that year. He retired and tapped Humphrey as his successor to the White House and paired him with an old Texan friend, Governor John Connally. The announcement of Connally took a large chunk out of the Dixiecrat vote, now being headed by George Wallace of Alabama who he thought had more open support from his fellow southerners this time around.

    The Republicans took a little longer to get their house in order. Former Vice-President, and Presidential nominee, Richard Nixon stood but wasn't able to topple Nelson Rockefeller quickly or easily. Instead, he dropped out at the convention and backed his fellow Californian, Governor of Ronald Reagan. Reagan had received many of his convention votes from the Southern and Western states, captivated by him and his strident conservative rhetoric. To confront the allegations he was nothing more then a "Western Wallace" as Hubert Humphrey famous called him in an interview, he shocked the world and picked fellow 1966 freshman Edward Brooke of Massachusetts.

    Any hopes Reagan had about carrying both the South and the nation were dashed. While later he claimed he never regretted choosing Brooke and that it was the "only right choice" at the time, many disagreed with him. Nixon himself furiously told Reagan he was throwing away the election and should have focused on trying to pry the South away from the Democrats, now permanently split and able to be coaxed over. Instead, Reagan held out hope he could sweep the west and take the electoral vote rich states north of the Mason-Dixon line like New York, Ohio, and Wisconsin. For a while it looked like the Democrats were going to be pulled in all directions, Wallace taking the South and Reagan the West.

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    Despite performing very well in the popular vote, only 2.5% of the vote separating Humphrey and Reagan, and increasing the number Goldwater had by half, Reagan failed to win many of the states he hoped for. New York remained Democratic, as did the heavily populated sections of the Midwest and even a majority of New England. Surprisingly, Reagan scored victories in Missouri and Tennessee, second place in Virginia, a fairly distant second in Texas, and nearly winning Kentucky. All in spite of a black running mate. If the Republicans could capitalize on their successes in the South, they would be able to pry it away from any kind of Democratic label.

    George Wallace under preformed in this election, to the dismay of many states rights supporters. They technically increased their share of the popular vote, by almost one hundred thousand, but shrunk in percentage-wise. The Dixiecrats lost Lousiana, and they didn't even score a close second place in too many states. Even Alabama slipped into the under 60% range, something many thought worrying for Wallace's political future. The Republicans, despite losing their third consecutive Presidential election, regained many 1964 voters and increased their representation in Congress, including over a dozen new Senators stretching from Alaska to Indiana, revitalized the conservative voters, and made history with the first black man on a major party ticket.
     
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    Update 4: 1968, 1969, and 1970 elections
  • The elections in 1968, 1969, and 1970 would be like many before them, despite the change in national politics some states stubbornly kept to their old habits, while others changed wildly from previous expectations, and others did both at once.

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    George Aiken was a Senator of Vermont, who's service began with Roosevelt's third term, after the previous Senator died, and ended with Humphrey's inauguration. He didn't expect to be challenged for a 5th term, he was so sure of victory that when a little known former state representative announced he was challenging Aiken in the Senate primary, he paid him no mind.

    That was a mistake.

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    Heir to the estate of Laura Ingalls Wilder, who was the author of Little House on the Prairie, Robert MacBride served a single term as Vermont state Representative, and failed to win the 1964 gubernatorial primary. Four years later he came back and ousted George Aiken in the Senate primary. He received the help of Ronald Reagan, no friend to the "Eastern Establishment" of Rockefeller and company.

    Both Reagan and MacBride won the state, MacBride beating Lt. Governor Daley by a wider margin then Reagan beat Humphrey. Together, they showed their was still room for someone of the "old right", those who rejected the New Deal and hearkened back to the anti-bureaucratic and anti-internationalist days of American Conservatism.

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    Abner Linwood Holton, Jr. was the first serious non-Democrat in Virginia to wage a winnable campaign in literally generations. He was young, popular, and did fairly well in 1965 after Johnson won the state. Republicans from out of state spent much money and effort to elect this one attorney from Roanoke.

    Would 1969 be the year a Republican was elected Governor of the Old Dominion? Was it prime time for a Republican breakthrough in the South?

    This was not their year. Not just yet.

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    Henry Howell was a populist Democrat who feuded with the powerful Byrd Machine that ran the state, companies that price gouged consumers, segregationists, and against anyone he felt was working against the public interest. His slogan, "Keep the Big Boys Honest", was used so much they began to call him Honest Henry, or Honest Henry Howell in an attempt to try and tie him to President Humphrey (who campaigned for him that year).

    Howell was popular among his party, narrowly winning a runoff against the Byrd Organisation candidate, and the state at large. His bright, shiny, and optimistic campaign was a breath of fresh air from the doom and gloom that pervaded the country as the Vietnam War drew to a close, and the country seemingly at it's end. Howell ultimately won because he ran a better campaign then Holton, and because his party structure was more solid and entrenched then Holton's.

    Holton would prove the old phrase "Third times the charm" right in 1973 as he finally won office against a divided field. Right-wing and segregationist Democrats split off and joined the Conservative Party of Virginia for a time, which was unrelated to the popular and successful Conservative Party up in New York. Holton would fight to keep them out of his Republican Party and balance the liberal and conservative factions of the Virginia Republican Party even after he left office.

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    With the death of Lurleen Wallace on May 7, 1968, Lieutenant Governor of Alabama Albert Brewer took over for her remaining two and a half years. Originally George Wallace planned to make his political comeback, possibly even contest 1972, but Brewer refused to just lay down over for him. Charging Wallace with negligence and an obsessive eye toward the White House, Brewer promised to continue being a "full time Governor" and promised he would never seek the White House, period.

    Wallace countered by calling Brewer a "Humphrey stooge", which Brewer denied, and accusing him of selling out the state's white populace so he could take black votes. "Do you want the black block electing your governor?" was probably the most infamous slogan of the year. In a bit of irony, President Humphrey did offer his support to Brewer, wanting to keep Wallace out of power and humiliate him by having Alabama repudiate him.

    Various other national politicians worked to keep Wallace down, something that played to his advantage. The image of the "Washington elite" trying to interfere with Alabama's elections incensed a lot of voters and caused a backlash toward Brewer near the end of the campaign.

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    Brewer narrowly beat Wallace in the runoff of the Democratic Primary, the only real election in Alabama at the time. Still, Wallace ran in the general as a write-in candidate, getting a respectable 22% of the vote over the field of Independents and irrelevant third party candidates. No Republican even filed to run that year. Albert Brewer became the first Alabama Governor to serve a second consecutive term.

    Plenty speculated what this meant: Did Alabamans rejected Wallace because they saw him as someone who'd rather wage a vanity campaign for President then govern, did they just choose the man who was more suited for office, was it the impact of the "black block" that was being felt, was it the power of gubernatorial incumbency that hadn't ever really been tested? Whatever the case, Wallace was out of office, and he headed home beaten and eager to lick his wounds.
     
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    Update 5: A Dead Kennedy, plus 1969 and 1970 New York elections
  • Edward M. 'Ted' Kennedy was a confident, competent and very popular Senator and was assured reelection in the 1970 Midterm elections for his Senate seat. Maybe he could run in 1976 if Humphrey lost or if his brother Robert decided to bow out running in 1976. Teddy Kennedy could have run in 1976 and could have been a good President - sadly he never got the chance; when his car, one Summer's night in 1969, swerved to avoid uncoming traffic, careered off a pier and slipped below the waves; the intoxicated driver and passenger would never reemerged alive again.

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    In 1969 the campaigning once again returned to New York City. This time there was a rematch (so to say) between Lindsay and a Buckley. Except this time it was not Bill Buckley but rather James Buckley, the colourful and popular attorney and Judge who had been persuaded by his brother to throw his hat into the ring after his second place finish for the Senate race against the reelected republican Jacob Javits in 1968. Lindsay once again tried to portray the Buckley candidate as a right wing demagogue. Sadly (for Lindsay) this would have worked if it were not for the fact that of his record as Mayor. He seemed to be relying on his good looks more than solving the various problems of the city. On the first day in the post there was a strike by the Transport Workers Union of America which ground the subway and bus services in the big apple to a virtual halt. Lindsay's candid and jovial attitude of saying that New York was still "a fun city" didn't win him many friends in the public and the newspaper columns. Later strikes such as those of the teaching union also helped to ground the city to a halt in 1966, 1967 and 1968. When Martin Luther King Jr. was assasinated in 1968, Lindsay visited the black distict of the city and stated he was sorry - thus avoiding the riots of the rest of the country which helped burn cities like Chicago and Los Angeles. On Lindsay's watch in 1968 there was a strike by garbage collectors which lasted over a week, this resulted in garbage and sewage being strewn across the streets of the city. Coupled with this there were strikes by teachers and firefighters, racial and sectarian violence increased in the city and there were various attempts on the Mayor's life (in response the NYCPD resolved to deploy snipers to protect the Mayor when he was out in public.)

    At the election Lindsay was narrowly renominated by the Republican party after nearly being toppled by William F. Buckley backed and aligned John J. Marchi - a state Senator. This time around Lindsay was elected as the Liberal Party's candidate easily. All appeared to be going well for his renomination. Then the Democratic Party selected the controversial and hot headed author and Long Island Statehood advocate Norman Mailer as their candidate. Over night James Buckley's polling numbers rose. After a debate in which Mailer was visible belligerent, drunk and had attempted to headbutt Buckley beforehand goaded Buckley and Lindsay into trading isults with him on air and continially referred to his "superior intellect." He also openly taunted and mocked Buckley and Lindsay who both appeared awkward at being near to Mailer.

    With that both the leading candidates saw their numbers rise; but alas it was Buckley who would win the race in the end - just beating Lindsay by a few percentage points.

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    Buckley carried Stasen Island by a large margin and Queens borough by a comfortable pluarility. Lindsy on the other hand carried The Bronx and Manhattan by healthy margins. Mailer narrowly carried Brooklyn borough by a small plurality.

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    After the death of his brother under surspicious circumstances in Summer 1969, Robert F. Kennedy decided to forfeit another term in the Senate and instead opted to return to the court room and practice law. The surprise vacancy in the Democratic Party left a vacuum that the local party failed to fill. From a crowded field of perrenial candidates and relatively unknown local politicians emerged Paul O'Dwyer. O'Dwyer who was an Irish born politician from New York City who had served on the city council some years before. The Republican Party nominated Charles Goodell, a very liberal (by national standards) Representative from the 38th District. It seemed as though it would be a pretty straight race between these two liberal candidates, especially after James Buckley's election to New York City Mayor the year before and thus making him bow out of any potential run for the Senate seat.

    The race was then suddenly livened by the entry of the controversial and flamboyant McCarthy attorney, celebrity lawyer and John Birch Society member, Roy M. Cohn. Cohn who had been a lifelong Democrat until becoming a Conservative Party member in 1969 was an unexpected entry to the race. The forty three year old lawyer easily won the nomination, only being opposed by a perenial candidate who had sought the Republican nomination for other posts over the years.

    In the general election campaign the two other candidates sought to portray Cohn as a dangerous ultraconservative who's association with Joe McCarthy proved he was a dishonest and unscruplious individual. Cohn brushed off these attacks, famiously calling O'Dwyer in a debate a "schmuck," and a "shit spreader."

    Secretly many national Republicans were hoping for Cohn to emerge as the victorious candidate as they feared Goodell would, if elected be similar to the Senior New York Senator, Jacob Javits and be an independent, off the wall, liberal maverick. Other accusations brought against Cohn was his frequently speculated and suspected homosexuality. Cohn, who had (seeminly tactically) wed broadcast journalist Barbara Walters in 1965, once again angrily brushed off these accusations saying, "Roy Cohn is not a homosexual."

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    Opinion polls showed that the race was a close fought race with some polls predicting a Cohn victory, some a victory for his Democratic opponent and the odd Republican newspaper stated that a Goodell victory was imminent. In the end it was Roy Cohn who delivered a jubilant victory speech in the early hours of a November morning in 1970. The result happened against a backdrop of New England shifting for the third election in a row towards the Republican/Conservative column.
     
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    Update 6: 1970 midterms
  • The race for the Senate seat in Massachusetts in reality began as soon as Senator Kennedy died in 1969. The Republican Governor of the state at first offered the Senate seat to former Governor John Volpe. Volpe, who was serving in a high paid corporate directorship job decline and then suggested former Senator Henry Cabot Lodge. Lodge, who had held the Senate seat around two decades before (until he was defeated by Jack Kennedy) had expressed interest in running before, but decided against doing such a thing. When offered he accepted and then prepared to run for the seat once again.

    In the General Election the Democrats struggled to find anyone with any real interest in running for the post and therefore set upon offering the nomination to State Senator Michael Dukakis. Dukakis who had no real interest in going to Washington, reluctantly agreed on the condition that he would be tapped to run for the Governor's mansion (which he did win nearly a decade later.)

    At first Dukakis was ahead by nearly twenty points. However after it became apparent that Dukakis had no real interest in winning the seat and allegations concerning his wife, Kitty Dukakis, who was (falsely) accused of burning the flag at an anti-war protest - Lodge saw his number's rise. In a debate Dukakis appeared cold and aloof compared to the more 'warm' Lodge.

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    On polling day Masschusetts turned red with the majority of districts (even liberal Boston) turning Republican red for the first time in many years for this class of Senate seat.

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    After Ronald Reagan's decision to run for President in 1968 many Californians felt angry and betrayed that their Governor had decided to abandon them for Presidential ambitions after less than two years in the job. By the time 1970 rolled around the Democrats sensed that they could pick up the Governor's mansion.

    From a crowded primary emerged Sam Yorty, the colourful and race baiting Mayor of Los Angeles. Yorty was, ironically, a personal friend of Ronald Reagan and was in fact more Conservative than the former actor. In the General Election much was made of the Governor's either hardline or soft approach towards the hippies in Berkeley who were causing trouble - it really depended on who you asked.

    While Yorty chipped away at Reagan's moderate lead in the polling numbers, the entrace of Bill Shearer on the Freedom Party ticket helped to remove a large portion of the Gipper's numbers. The Freedom Party, which was the remnants of the Barnett and Wallace State's Rights Party was part of the national umbrella of the Freedom Party; among other state branches was the Conservative Party in Virginia; which was in the process of being taken over by segregaionists entryists under the leadership of George Lincoln Rockwell.

    Reagan decided to swing to the centre and remind everyone that he had ran with the first negro candidate on a national ticket. This helped him win more centrist voters but cost him in his own conservative backyard with Yorty accusing him of "playing the race card" (despite the fact that Yorty frequently played it himself, especially against black Democrat Tom Bradley in 1969 for the LA Mayoral election of that year.) Shearer went further and privately called Reagan a "nigger lover."

    When the votes were cast surely the people would vote for the Gipper over the two extreme options he was against?

    No, it seemed they wouldn't.

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    Reagan was pipped by Yorty who received an abnormally large amount of votes from Los Angeles, leading to accusations of vote rigging by Yorty. The accusations remained even after Yorty was exonerated by a recount and the counts. Shearer recorded nearly three times as many votes as Wallace had received in 1968 and was well on his was to winning a seat in the House of Representatives in 1974.

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    The result was also reflected in the even closer Senate race. There incumbent Senator George Murphy beat upstart John V. Tunney by less than 1,500 votes - or 0.02% of the vote. The race was decided by Murphy's strategic refusal to accept a salary from Technicolor before the election - this was at first hurting his polling numbers. His support for the Vietnam war lead to a surge in votes for the young upstart Tunney who overtook Murphy and was expected to win. Albeit until the votes were cast and Murphy surprisingly won the race - even as the Jesus to his John the Bapist lost his race for the Governor's mansion.

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    Elsewhere the Democrats could point to some success as they lost Senate seats from Nevada all the way up to Maine. This trend however stopped south of the Mason-Dixon line. There, there was as a definite swing to the Democrats who won Senate races in Missouri, West Virginia, Tennessee, Mississippi, Florida and Maryland (where controversial Dixiecrat George P. Mahoney eventually won after many attempts at getting elected to a statewide office.) Only in Virginia, where the now Independent Harry Byrd did the pro-Democratic southern trend stop. The same was true for the Governor's mansion in Florida - there incumbent Democratic Governor Claude R. Kirk, Jr. (who had switched to the Democrats back from the Republicans in 1966) was reelected to a second term as Governor of the Sunshine state.

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    Update 7: 1972 Presidential and downballot elections
  • The Humphrey administration inherited a mess from the Johnson Presidency and in spite of this many liberals who begrudgingly voted for Humphrey in November were dismayed and disgusted at his maintenance of many members of the Johnson Administration’s cabinet. Defense Secretary Clark Clifford was promoted to the State Department, the hawkish Senator from Washington, Henry M. ‘Scoop’ Jackson became Clifford’s replacement as Secretary of Defense. German born academic, Henry Kissinger was appointed National Security Adviser. Other appointments included Nicholas Katzenbach, who was reappointed Attorney General and, to placate the left wing of the Democratic Party, George McGovern was appointed Housing and Urban Development (HUD) Secretary. The majority of other members of the cabinet remained the same despite the change in President.

    Humphrey, well aware of the growing anti-war sentiment in the United States at the time began to place pressure on the South Vietnamese President, Nguyen Van Thieu to re-attend talks he had publicly withdraw from during the lame duck period of Johnson’s Presidency; as if to give a parting insult to the former President who had staked he reputation, career and Presidency on the war. Humphrey then instructed Secretary Clifford to inform President Thieu that the United States would withdraw military support for the Southern regime if Thieu continued in his ways of refusing to return to the negotiations. Thieu reluctantly returned to the negotiations which lasted into 1970; but in the end were seen as a success at the time as a broad agreement was reached by North Vietnamese Leader Le Duan and Secretary Clifford. By 1971 all non-essential American forces had been withdrawn from Vietnam. By 1972 the only United States forces in Vietnam were naval forces, patrolling Vietnamese waters at the request of the Saigon Government and military advisers and trainers who tried to help the failing, incompetent and corrupt ARVN (Army of the Republic of Viet-Nam.) This effectively mooted any sort of challenge from the liberal ‘peacenik’ left headed by reelected Minnesota Senator, Eugene McCarthy. The ‘challenge’ to Humphrey’s leadership in the primaries came not from the left, but the right in the form of Georgia Governor Lester Maddox. Maddox failed to make much of splash in the primaries; though he did win the primary in Florida; due to vote splitting cause by a hap-handed write in campaign in favor of incumbent Florida Senator George Smathers - who had no interest in challenging the President; yet was silent in his support for the President and even secretly was found to be wishing Maddox well; so as to catalyze a possible Smathers ’76 run.

    The Humphrey administration also saw successes concerning Johnson’s ‘Great Society;’ though it fell considerably short of delivering on the liberal dream of free healthcare for all; due to the Republicans gaining many seats, but not control of the Senate and House in the 1970 midterms. Another issues during Humphrey’s time was the issue of integration in public schools - busing was a divisive issue in general - especially in the Democratic Party and in the Humphrey administration with Defense Secretary Jackson leading the charge against busing and threatening to resign if it continued. Busing and Jackson however remained in the end with Jackson acknowledging that resigning over this issue would not help his electoral chances in the future. During this time inflation steadily rose in America to one of, if not it’s highest rate in recent history; though the President’s Keynesian full employment policies were seen at the time to be successful it is now generally accepted to be one of the catalysts for the ‘Second Great Wall Street Crash.’

    For the Supreme Court Humphrey had the chance to appoint two Justices and one Chief Justice during his first term. For the two lower positions he picked the first ever female Justice, Lorna E. Lockwood of Arizona (now seen as a way of thanking the Arizona Democrats for their work in 1964) to replace the disgraced Abe Fortas, and for Justice Harlam’s successor he selected former Solicitor General Archibald Cox. Both were approved by the Congress, despite the relative 50:50 split in both bodies of Congress. However the appointment of a replacement for Chief Justice Earl Warren was an issue which brought conflict between the President and Vice President to the surface.

    The biggest divide between Humphrey and Connally came over who was in charge. While Humphrey remembered his ineffectual days as Vice-President, Connally came across as rough and wanting to be equal to Humphrey, not content as occasional Senate President. Humphrey rebuffed him and their working relationship fell ever downward. The biggest example came when Chief Justice Earl Warren retired Connally put forward his own man, the District Attorney of Dallas, Henry Wade. Humphrey, while respecting the man, disliked him and instead went with another Southerner. A District Court Judge from Alabama, Frank Minis Johnson.

    Connally was furious, thinking that an Eisenhower appointee shouldn't follow another Eisenhower appointee, and instead the position of Chief Justice should go to a Southerner who spoke for the South. He also didn't want to further spark racial tensions by having the a judicial activist who ordered desegregation in the Deep South in the 1950's. Only a few months after the death of Eisenhower, who originally appointed Johnson as District Attorney in 1953, was Frank Johnson confirmed as the 15th Chief Justice of the United States.

    In April of 1971, John Connally announced on television that he was leaving the Democratic Party, citing an “unworkable atmosphere” and “fundamental disagreement of […] political philosophy.” Thus overnight Connally went from unloved and under-appreciated Vice-President, to the front runner for the Republican nomination. Western and Southern Republicans considered him their best bet, capable of delivering the GOP a majority of the South for the first time since Grant. Old Republican leaders like Nixon considered the dashing Texan their best bet and engineered him the nomination.

    Connally considered himself the leader of the Republican Party, by virtue of him being their Presidential nominee, thus he set out his own path regardless of how many in his party felt. The announcement of fellow Southerner, Senator Howard Baker of Tennessee, incensed both the eastern and liberal Republicans: Already fuming of how Connally received the nomination, now felt they were being ignored and expected to follow through with him regardless of how they were treated.

    Instead, only a month after his nomination, was the declaration of an Independent Republican ticket. Headed by Senator Jacob Javits, and newly minted Senator George Murphy, they declared themselves the true Republican ticket that year, with Connally not representative of the party nor trustworthy with the office of President. In some states, like New York, there was a fusion slate of both Republican and Independent Republican electors, thus delivering them states that would have been won through vote splitting. But most state there was more hatred between the two camps then there was between the Democrats and either candidacy.

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    In the end the Independent Republican ticket did rather well, taking New York (in fusion with the Connally ticket), half of New England, and even Delaware. As an example of the heavy vote splitting that year, in Delaware alone Independent Republican Jacob Javits won the state's electoral votes, young Democrat Joe Biden won the Senate seat, and regular Republican Russell Peterson won a second term as Governor.

    The turnout jumped due to the passage of the Twenty-Sixth Amendment, lowering the voting age to 18. Most of these new votes went rather surprisingly to the elderly Javits. Humphrey, despite withdrawing American troops from Vietnam, was ultimately seen as an extension of the old style of politics. Ranging from how he used bosses to gain the nomination, and his refusal to allow the primary system to be reformed, to his attack on war protesters as engaging in “escapism.” Connally was seen much the same as Humphrey, an old machine politician who wanted power and without regard to what he stood for. Javits and Murphy were seen as, if not perfect, honest and not beholden to anyone. An ironic view considering how a few powerful men, including Governor Nelson Rockefeller, were instrumental in getting them to run and getting them on the ballots.

    Humphrey replacement for Connally was another Southerner, this one far more in tune with the President's politics, Virginia Governor Henry Howell. Humphrey's original choice was Alabama Governor Albert Brewer, but after the nomination of Frank Johnson the idea of winning Alabama was thrown out. Still, near all of the eastern South was won by Humphrey/Howell due to strong turnout among black voters, and the candidates chosen for other races. Near all of the country had vote splitting either between liberals Humphrey and Javits, or Repubicans Connally and Javits.

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    While some voters were rather cross with Howell, leaving office early to campaign as Vice-President, he was still rather popular and had help from Senator William Spong Jr. in turnout. Spong's only challenge in the primary was from the son of the previous Senator, Absalom Willis Robertson, who polled strong against Spong, but came down short. It looked like an easy win for Spong until the Conservative Party of Virginia announced it was running him for Senator.

    Connally felt that this was good chance to pick up the Old Dominion's Senate seat, with former Byrd Democrats coming out to vote for the son of Senator Robertson, and liberals split between Spong and Republican candidate William Scott. The leaderships of the Virginia Republicans and Democrats were both adamant about refusing to allow segregationists leverage over the party, and Connally viewed both similar in political philosophy: staunchly center-left in a center-right state.

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    It was a monumental blunder, as Republicans who felt Connally didn't care about the party could use this as an example of how he'd throw them under the bus in a heartbeat. Virginia was one of his weaker Southern states, nearly losing to Javits, due not only this mistaken endorsement but Howell's popularity in the state.

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    Benjamin Everett Jordan, better know by his middle and last name, had the distinction of not only being primaried, but also placing third in the primary behind liberal three-term Representative Nick Galifianakis, and radio commentator Jesse Helms. While Galifianakis hoped to win by letting Jordan and Helms split the conservative vote, instead Helms won by name recognition and popularity with the voters of the state.

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    In an odd twist, the Humphrey campaign worked to elect the Republican candidate, tarring Helms as the “Connally Democrat” of the race. Connally did in fact campaign for Helms, providing a strange example of the Senate and Presidential nominee's working against each other. In the end Helms, more comfortable with working for Connally then Jackson was with Humphrey, narrowly won as Humphrey took the state. While technically a Democratic sweep, it wasn't really.

    ---

    Strom Thurmond, one of the big Southern Republicans until Connally came along, was the prime target of the South Carolina Democratic Party. They recruited former Lieutenant Governor, and failed 1970 Gubernatorial nominee, John West to fight Thurmond. The Humphrey Administration dismissed them as a lost cause with Thurmond polling well against every single Democrat they had to offer.

    That was until Thurmond's home town hometown newspaper, the Edgefield Advertiser, ran the infamous headline declaring him to an “unprincipled segregationist [...] with colored offspring.” Thurmond denied the allegations and threatened to sue, until the paper printed bank information proving the transactions between Thurmond and his black child Essie Mae Washington. Thurmond denied everything, the allegations he fathered her, the information that was printed in the papers, and declared it to be forgeries by his political opponents who wanted to “kill [his] character through lies and disgusting allegations.”

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    Connally, like many other national Republicans, withdrew their support of Thurmond. Unlike many Republicans, Connally went on the air to denounce Thurmond's actions, lies to the public, and asked him to resign his seat and withdraw from the race so he could “leave with a bit of honor.” Thurmond refused and stuck out until his loss. Whatever votes Connally gained by trying to appear statesmanlike were lost due to the way he enthusiastically tossed away a fellow Republican. Some speculated Connally also wanted to eliminate a future rival in the South, and that his public attacks on him were a way to keep on top of the Southern Republicans even if Connally lost.

    ---

    Because of the Republican split, New England Democrats saw this as prime time to collect disaffected liberal voters and take various seats from the Republicans. In some cases it worked, but in the most valuable targets it didn't.

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    Despite Humphrey narrowly winning Maine, Senator Margaret Chase Smith won a fifth term in office due to turnout for Javits, and an Independent candidacy which proved to be a spoiler for Representative William Hathaway. Smith would gain extra fame in a few years not just by by being the longest served female Senator, but also the first female President Pro Tempore of the United States Senate.

    ---

    In California the Freedom/Conservative Party movement saw it's first elected representative win a Congressional seat. 1970 Gubernatorial nominee Bill Shearer would win the San Diego aligned 43rd district of California after attacking his Democratic and Republican opponents as soft of crime and criminals and playing on the fact that California was seeing some of the worst racial and sectarian violence out of the South for some years owing to the rise in paramilitary radical left wing groups (such as the newly founded Symbionese Liberation Army) which were carrying out assassinations of opponents; such as the non-fatal shooting of Governor Yorty while he was campaigning for the President in the days before the election.
     
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    Update 8: Hubert Humphrey
  • A key figure in uniting Minnesota's two left-wing parties into one vehicle, an enthusiastic liberal and fervent anti-Communist, the young firebrand who locked horns with the Southern Democratic establishment over Civil Rights in 1948 and triumphed when President Truman made a shocking victory later that year.

    He served as Senator of Minnesota for sixteen years, originally shunned by the Southern Democrats who he fought and weakened, he eventually forged a working relationship with Senate Majority Leader Lyndon Johnson of Texas. Even after Johnson left the Senate for the office of Vice-President, he used the knowledge gained from his time under Johnson to help push through the Civil Rights Act.

    A powerless but loyal Vice-President for a single term, he had to balance loyalty to Johnson and his own convictions regarding the Vietnam War.

    He was President for four years and five months, after nearly a decade and a half of trying, failing, and waiting to reach it.

    His name was Hubert Horatio Humphrey.

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    ---

    Henry Howell was brought on as a direct opposite of Vice-President Connally. A new kind of liberal, from the eastern South, and someone who wouldn't lock horns with the President. At most he was expected to be a more human face on the Administration, someone who could take the policies from up top to the public without the automatic stigma of coming from the steadily unpopular Humphrey Administration.

    But, like many men before him, this part-time Vice-President was thrust into the Oval Office and had to perform his duties as best as possible. After Humphrey died of an aneurysm, the cabinet quickly had him sworn in and the functions of government continued smoothly. Unfortunately as soon as Howell was brought up to speed on the domestic and foreign situation, and a shuffling of the cabinet, both abruptly changed.

    In the Middle East another war began between Israel and a coalition of Arab nations. Humphrey, a staunch ally of Israel, had plans to immediately supply them with aid, which Secretary of State Richard Helms followed through on. Secretary of Defense Jackson advised Howell to stay back and not get too involved, as American involvement could possibly turn the conflict far worse then if they let them fight it out among themselves.

    At home, the Symbionese Liberation Army attempted to bomb the Humphrey funeral but were apprehended before any such move could be made. Race riots were coming back into swing as the economy dipped and the cities were flooded with guns and blood. The rhetoric of the nation took a more violent tone, as the discussion turned from defending life and liberty to defending life, liberty, and property by any means necessary, even preventive murder.

    A unique pick was made for Vice-President, Alabama Governor Albert Brewer. The logic was the most pressing concerns were at home, racial and radical violence especially. The past decade's worth of problems began with the focus on Vietnam and the neglect of home issues. Howell was already a state politician, one well-versed in what made Virginia, a modern and industrial state, tick. Brewer was brought on to give insight to the poorer and rural states. While they formed the domestic policy team, the Cabinet would handle the more finicky areas of foreign policy, mostly in keeping the US out of any conflicts if possible.

    Defense Secretary Jackson forced Helms to inform Prime Minister Meir that it will be impossible for the U.S. to resupply Israel with arms in a timely fashion. This is due to the refusal of European allies to allow overflights, and recommends Israel seek an immediate cease-fire. This peace overture was immediately rejected by Egypt the next day. By the end of the year Nazareth had been invaded by the Arab coalition and Jerusalem was now not long from being seized by the forces.

    The Soviets, much to Jackson's ire were found to be assisting the Syrian forces and were undertaking in airstrikes against Israel - yet Brezhnev refused to launch nuclear weapons at Israel - despite Damascus' pleas. Jerusalem, however appeared not so ready to maintain the nuclear weapons taboo and began drawing up plans for - if the worst were to come - nuclear weapons (courtesy of US loaned weapons) would begin a one way trip to Cairo and Damascus. By the end of the year OPEC was forced to announce an oil price hike (to nearly $5.00 a barrel) and production were cut. OPEC also threatened to embargo the U.S. and other western nations if they intervene in the Arab-Israeli conflict. Due to this and other problems, unemployment and inflation sat at around 10% and was expected to rise. In response to this, Howell appointed economic conservative and Arkansas Ways and Means Democratic Chairman Wilbur Mills as Treasury Secretary.
     
    Update 9: 1973 elections
  • The people of Virginia were quite annoyed at the fact that their Governor had decided to jump ship and run as President Humphrey’s running mate - but they were also quite proud that another son of Virginia had become President of the United States - now for the ninth time. The people of the state were prepared to trust the Democratic Party's candidate, retired Chief of Naval Operations, Elmo Zumwalt. The Republicans had decided to pick A. Linwood Holton, Jr. as their candidate for the third time in a row - this lead to accusations that Holton was the ‘Harold Stassen of the South;’ something Holton laughed off.

    However any sort of trust that the people had in their new Governor and the Democrats were shaken and destroyed when it emerged that Battle, a Byrd faction crony had been involved in a large scale corruption and bribery during the time before and during his tenure as Lt. Governor; now President Howell was tainted and later exonerated by investigators, with the President pointing out that he gladly was not associated with or a member of the now crumbling Byrd-coalition. The sense of revulsion among Virginians led them to abandon the Democratic Party en-masse and to go to other options - this did not necessarily mean the Republican Party.

    At first nobody really took much notice of the Conservative Party and it’s candidate - the American Hitler - George Lincoln Rockwell. Rockwell who had in recent years severed his links with the American Nazi Party and white supremacy in favour of looking more moderate and electable was nominated by the (ironically) Byrd-faction run Conservative Party that had been gradually growing in the past decade due to an influx of neo-segregationists and conservative Byrd-Democrats. After Battle was tainted by the financial investigations against him (for which he was not indicted and had charges dropped by in 1974) Rockwell’s polling numbers began to rise and he became the leading challenger to Holton. In debates for which Rockwell was invited; Holton and Zumwalt refused to attend and were ‘empty seated’ - leaving Rockwell to debate against the (usually hostile) audiences.

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    Despite President Howell campaigning for Zumwalt, Rockwell managed to pull off an impressive showing for a third party candidate and edged ahead of Zumwalt by over one percent of the vote. In the end Holton eventually became Governor on his third attempt beating Rockwell by well over fifteen percent of the vote, despite only getting 44% of the vote. The rise and rise of the Conservative Party seemed unlikely to be stopped with Rockwell vowing to return in 1977 and to claim the prize...

    ---

    James Buckley was elected as Mayor of a city that was dealing with racial and sectarian violence, seemingly never ending protests & strikes and on the brink of bankruptcy. When Buckley was sworn into office he set about ruthlessly crushing the strikes by having the New York Police Department called in to break up the protests and encouraging private sector businesses to sack those on strikes, just like he did for public sector roles. For the City’s economy he set about initiating conservative ‘shock therapy’ for the city with spending being cut and large scale austerity being brought in, in a bid to balance the budget and restore the city’s financial state. His ‘draconian’ economic policy started to see fruits by 1972 when the city was for the first time in many years in the black for it’s finances. Things were started to look better for the city as other big cities, Los Angeles, Detroit and Chicago began varying levels of decline (especially with Detroit electing ‘former’ Communist and ‘black power’ advocate Coleman Young and hard right conservative Republican Bob Dornan who beat Democrat Jesse M. Unruh who succeed Tom Bradley as the leading Democratic candidate (after the latter was assassinated (with his family. Lt. Gov. Jerry Brown, fmr. Justice Earl Warren and two dozen others were injured in the bombing as well.) at a campaign event) by twelve votes.)

    As 1973 came around it looked as though Buckley could limp towards the finish line if he came up against a generic straw man liberal Democrat. That strawman appeared to be the confirmed bachelor Ed Koch. Then once again a star candidate entered the race unexpectedly. That candidate was former Senator and Attorney General Robert F. Kennedy. Kennedy quickly beat the bitter Koch and was instantly ahead of the incument Mayor. Then Koch won the nomination of the newly founded centrist Independence Party and the rump Liberal Party instantly 'stealing' a significant chunk out of Kennedy's vote making the race a virtual tie.

    This tie did not change throughout the election and despite a firey exchange between Koch and Kennedy, reminisicent of the Mailer outbreak in 1969, all while Buckley rolled his eyes and looked on. Even an attempted assasination of Buckley by a SLA affiliate extremist failed to alter the polls at all.

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    When the first returns came in it showed a slim victory for Kennedy who promptly gave an acceptance speech. However not long after a recount was demanded by the Buckley campaign. In the ensuing recount the returns from Staten Island saw many ballots from Kennedy being disposed of and many new Buckley votes being 'magically' found. The final results saw Buckley beat Kennedy by less than 350 votes. The Democrats called foul but the result was upheld and it was James Buckley who was sworn in for a second term on New Years Day 1974.

    ---

    All in all the election results did not bode well for the Democratic Party in 1974...
     
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    Update 10: 1974 and 1975 elections
  • In spite of many expectations that the Democrats were going to suffer at the 1974 polls, being a midterm and for a President many did not expect to have at the time, they did surprisingly well.

    The Republicans held nineteen out of the thirty-four Class III Senate seats. Many of them won due to the strong Republican challenge posed by Ronald Reagan in 1968, and due to in general strong performances even in the states he lost. The Democrats retained all of their Southern Senators, in spite of attempts by Minority leader Baker to encourage well funded and strong candidates to run. Their only loss was in the border state of Kentucky, where Marlow Cook beat Governor Wendell Ford for a second term.

    The Democrats gained Illinois after Everett Dirksen died and Adlai Stevenson III won the special election for the seat. The Democrat's also regained two seats lost in 1968 by the same candidates who lost, Idaho's Frank Church and Indiana's Birch Bayh.

    The sole Republican gain this year was when Barry Goldwater Jr. narrowly won California's Senate race against incumbent Alan Cranston.

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    Some speculate that the Democratic victories were some combination of the Republican's having to defend many seats that were weak and the Democrats not having to put up much of a fight in their states. Some say it was a brief upswing in the economy, other says that the economy wasn't strong enough to give the Democrats a boost. And other just say strong candidacies, like Nevada's Harry Reid or Ohio's John Glenn, overcame Republican opposition.

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    ---

    In Colorado, a very unique celebrity ticket ran. Hunter S. Thompson ran on a Freak Power ticket for Sheriff of Pitkin County in 1970. While losing, he and a friend who ran for Mayor of Aspen, Colorado (in 1969) each pulled a good amount of votes, further encouraging Thompson to make his statewide debut.

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    For a third party, he did rather well. Not as well as he'd hoped but it was enough to through both parties for a loop, be a spoiler, and attract nationwide attention.

    ---

    Statewide the Kentucky Democrats hadn't been doing too well. They lost the state's electoral votes to Connally/Baker in 1972, as well as both Senate seats in '72 and '74. Walter Dee Huddleston, loser of the '72 Senate race and Kentucky State Senate Majority Leader, emerged as main challenger to Lieutenant Governor Carroll, and after a bruising primary fight he emerged victorious. His main challenger was Republican Robert Gable. Polls put Huddleston at winning between 55 and 65% of the vote, but the Democrats still ran a strong campaign in order to recover from their other statewide losses

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    When time came to vote, however, Huddleston "only" won by five percent. In spite of superior numbers, funding, and media coverage, he could only beat his no name challenger by a competitively close margin. This did not bode well for Kentucky Democrat's going in 1976, worried about a complete wipeout in a few years.
     
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    Update 11: 1976 Presidential Primaries
  • After Connally was awarded the Republican nomination in 1972, there was a push from both parties to rewrite how primaries and caucus's were done. A team of 10 senators and 25 representatives lead by South Dakotan George McGovern and New Yorker Jacob K. Javits formed a commission to study the primaries and make suggested changes. Some people complained about the influence of the later, claiming not only did he wreck the Republican Party in 1972 but that he wanted to change party rules without input from actual party members, only Congressmen. Regardless, the McGovern-Javits commission found that both parties were undemocratic in their selection of candidates, relying mostly on connections and machine bosses then voter input.

    Both major parties rectified that in their own ways. The Republican's decided on a state-focused change, allowing each state party to set their own rules on how the delegates were selected, whether Independents could vote in the primaries, but requiring some kind of primary in the end. The only thing that was determined by the RNC was the date of the vote in each state, with every state being randomly given a date as to insure fairness and prevent any one region from being given too much influence.

    The race for the Republican nomination was wide open in 1976, nearly ever single major Republican, and some minor ones, came in to contest the first open primary. Many big states, like New York, California, and Texas, gave out most of their delegates by a decision reached from a committee of influential state Republicans, with the popular vote serving an advisory role, or giving out a minuscule amount of the total delegates based on that. Most Republicans ran either in their home regions, relied on party leaders to help them out in other states, or tried to snag the uncommitted delegates some state sent out. Only one Republican made the effort to visit every single state in the Union.

    Ultimately the Republicans emerged with a surprising front-runner after many months of running and winning state after state, or coming close to doing so.

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    Vermont Senator Roger MacBride, by the time the Republican Convention had assembled, had the most votes and the most delegates, a plurality of both. The road to even that was hard and not guaranteed. He visited every one of the 50 states (and even Puerto Rico), he traveled on planes, cars, even horses to visit primary voters across the states, he stayed in people's houses and personally talked to them why they should vote for him, and he ran a unique grassroots campaign against the "party elite [...] who take your votes but do not count them." A reference to how many states did not have the popular vote match their delegates.

    The Republican Primary was livened up by a series televised of debates held primarily by the Firing Line show of former New York Mayoral candidate and de facto Conservative Party (of New York State) leader, William F. Buckley. The debates which were widely publicized involved Buckley cross examining each of the candidates before letting the candidates debate among themselves while he gave playful and sarcastic comments about them - under the eyes of a moderator (usually liberal Nicholas Von Hoffman or conservative James J. Kilpatrick.)

    The debates proved to be invaluable to the MacBride campaign as the candidate was much lauded over his performance and ability to appear serious yet 'fun' with Buckley and the other candidates, and avoiding major missteps which hobbled others. The debates also provided some memorable moments such as a colorful shouting match between Cohn and Connally, Gerald Ford stating that "[He]'ll drive out the Soviets from Kaliningrad and Eastern Europe" as President, and Bill Buckley asking his brother James "Besides being your brother, is there any real reason for me to vote for you?"

    After coming close in the Maine primary, narrowly losing to favorite daughter Margaret Chase Smith, he surprisingly took the Pennsylvania Primary over then front-runners Connally and Speaker Ford. While MacBride attracted a lot of buzz, many tried to downplay his successes by noting how it was only by a narrow plurality that he won. Still, MacBride ran across the nation, winning primary after primary, and slowly becoming a national figure. By the time the Republican Convention had assembled, most assumed the Vermonter would take the election.

    His fellow Yankee's, Smith and Brooke, endorsed him beforehand, asking their delegates to vote for him. Gerald Ford was next at the convention to announce his support, as was a reluctant Connally and an amused Cohn, surprised he'd gotten this far without having really joined the Republican Party. The only notable holdout was Southern Republican Jack Edwards, who declined to endorse him.

    MacBride surprised the convention by announcing his choice for Vice-President, Roy Cohn. A Vermonter and a New Yorker provided an interesting contrast to the Virginian/Alabaman ticket that was up for their own first primary. MacBride was known to be something of a Goldwater Republican, anti-New Deal, anti-intervention, and filled with a strong conviction that a government that goes to far is worse then one that doesn't go far enough. Cohn, meanwhile, was more infamous, known for red-baiting and being a hardline (ultra-)conservative in the modern sense.

    ---

    The Democratic Party went a different route with it's primaries. It was decided by the Howell White House that the various state's ought to have similar enough rules regarding delegates. All of the states had to deliver their delegates via some kind of tie to the vote, but the choice was in the state parties. Some states did a winner takes all system, some apportioned the delegates via what percentage of the vote you got, and others did it by Congressional district or a special state map.

    President Howell's term wasn't the greatest. The fuel crisis that had stemmed from the Israeli defeat in the latest Arab-Israeli conflict and Arab antagonism towards the US’ support for Israel saw the price of oil rise further to nearly $10 per barrel. This was coupled with the heavier than usual rainfall especially in the south. This caused the Mississippi river to overflow and burst it’s banks and to eventually form a new river stream where roads and towns formerly sat. Due to this road traffic from the area was diverted north in Missouri causing hour long traffic jams to get to desired locations or even to simply get fuel. The crisis hit hard when the electrical circuit on the east coast blew and caused black outs from as north as Boston all the way down to Florida.

    In 1974 the nation was also gripped by the murder of academic Sam Hayakawa and the abduction, rape and murder of heiress Patty Hearst by the Symbionese Liberation Army. After a national manhunt which involved bomb threats, bank robberies and the murder of three police officers the group were killed in a shoot out in southern California. In 1975 President Howell was the victim of two assassination attempts. One occured in Sacramento when Manson Family member Lynette ‘Squeaky’ Fromme attempted to shoot the President while he was walking to the California state house to talk to Governor Sam Yorty. Nobody was hurt, despite the fact that Fromme stood less than an arms length from the President. A mere 17 days later the President was the victim of another assassination plot in San Francisco when Sara Jane Moore open fire at the President as he left a building. Her first shot missed the President by a few feet, the second shot managed to graze the President’s arm - who was then shoved into the waiting car by a Secret Service agent who sat on top of him and above the Agent lay Presidential Advisor and White House Chief of Staff Zbigniew Brzezinski.

    Across the other side of the world General Secretary Brezhnev was ‘retired’ by hardliners who replaced him with ‘Orthodox Communist’ Mikhail Suslov. Suslov was known to look down on the folksy President and sought to test him, like Khrushchev tested Kennedy when Kennedy came to power in 1961; by supporting a NVA assault on South Vietnam - however the US’ ‘gun for a gun’ policy remained intact and mostly repealed the northern aggression. This was a period known for a distinct cooling of Soviet-American relations and one which had the distinct threat of nuclear war hanging over it.

    The President’s main opponents were the energetic William Proxmire, a Senator of Wisconsin, and the uncomfortable Hugh Carey, the New York Governor who had to be pressured into running that year. Proxmire attacked Howell for incompetence, wasting public funds, and allegedly focusing too much on the South to the expense of the rest of the nation. Carey, not quite convinced he should be running, ran mostly near the beginning of the race and withdraw fairly quickly to return to Albany. Not only was he still a year and a half into his first term as Governor, his wife was recovering from the effects of her cancer treatment. Despite this, he still narrowly won the Illinois primary over both Howell and Proxmire after he was no longer a candidate.

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    Some argue if Carey hadn't ran his half-hearted campaign Proxmire might have been able to snag the nomination, but that argument relied on Proxmire carrying all of Carey's votes and doing even better then he did. Howell ended his primary run before the last few primaries, having already won enough delegates to win. Embarrassingly, he narrowly failed to win a majority of primary votes as Proxmire won the New Mexico, Arizona, and California contests, who were the last up that year.

    While Vice-President Brewer was considering stepping down, perhaps even encouraging Carey or Proxmire as replacements, Howell shot down the idea as not wanting to seem as indecisive. For the first time ever, two Southern Democrats would be contesting an election together. The primary had shown his weakness outside of the South, and how voters in the Northern states didn't quite see Howell as their first choice. This was both a decisive and risky move by the President, but he stuck to it regardless of how many advised him against it.
     
    Update 12: 1976 Presidential and downballot elections
  • The Howell Administration had to play defense the entire campaign year. The Democrats had occupied the Presidency since Kennedy was elected, they had controlled the Senate for most of the time since 1961, and they had controlled the House for the entirety of the 60's. Every success that the Democrats could bring up had two controversies or failures related to it. An inconsistent foreign policy across four Presidencies had left them bewildered on the world stage when Israel was defeated, when Chile erupted into a Civil War, or when the People's Republic of China gathered enough allies to try and remove the Republic of China from the Security Council. While the US, the UK, and France were able to stop the slowly unraveling China-on-the-mainland (now ruled by the Gang of Four after Mao's death) from replacing Taiwan, it was a blow to the integrity of the UN.

    While race riots hadn't been as prevalent or violent as in the 60's, and open segregation had been mostly crushed by legal fiat, there was still many controversies regarding busing, affirmative action, and housing. The President agreed that a certain amount of busing and affirmative action was needed to correct "artificial historical imbalances", in the words of one memo. Secretary Jackson was the most vocal opponent of that policy, arguing it was counterproductive and it was the worst possible option. The Cabinet was one of Howell's major problems, filled with enough strong minded personalities that there was always someone arguing with another member. One faction was lead by Secretary of State Richard Helms was in favor of detente with the Soviet Union, while the hawk faction was lead by Secretary of Defense Henry Jackson. Originally Howell sided with Helms and pursued peace with the Soviets, but as time wore on, and leadership changed in Moscow, the President realigned with Jackson. What exactly happened in the intervening months between Howell's change in policy and Helms leaving in 1977 is unknown. All that is known is more then once the President was heard screaming at Helms for something he did.

    Much like Howell a few years ago, MacBride was an untested entity. He beat an incumbent Senator, and a crowd of better known candidates for the Presidential nomination, so he had experience in fighting bigger and more qualified opponents. But what else did America know about him? He considered his primary political education to have come from his adopted "granny", really a friend of his father, author Rose Wilder Lane. They worked as business partners in later years, and she named him heir after she died, one of the things he inherited was the famous Little House on the Prairie franchise.

    MacBride described his politics as "pre-New Deal conservatism" and completely "individualist in nature[...]something that denies the need of an overarching bureaucracy to maximize the people's welfare." As a libertarian, he declared that the government had no right in interfering with business and labor disputes, but recognized the need for it to combat issues like overt racism and sexism. "There is no liberty to deprive others of liberty" became the de facto slogan of the MacBride campaign.

    At first this was immensely popular with Americans. War-weariness whether they were directly involved (like Vietnam) or not (like Israel), exhaustion with the racism and racial issues, and aggravation with large and labyrinthine federal bureaucracies. But, like with a new car, the glean quickly wore off as Americans noticed other stances that didn't appeal to him. MacBride's refusal to say whether the government had a place in fighting the drug epidemic, or rather if it was the governments place at all to outlaw drugs, earned him the slur of 'hippie' from many law and order conservatives. His similar refusal to say if he'd back a continued ban on abortion earned him praise from feminists, but conservative women tore him to pieces over it.

    A single Presidential debate happened, for the first time since Kennedy and Nixon debated in 1960. Both candidates came off as affable and intelligent, neither saying anything interesting or making a notorious gaffe. The closest thing to that was when Howell claimed MacBride's politics wouldn't work as, "America has grown to be more then just a few little houses on the prairie," something that earned him a roaring crowd. MacBride countered how things like segregation and disenfranchisement happened because of run-amuck governments that enforced such laws against the wills of business owners and people.

    The weakest link of the Republican ticket was Cohn. Brought on to absorb right-wing voters who felt the Republicans, and MacBride especially, were too liberal. At first he played well to the media, with his reputation as an fierce crusader against communism and crime. But he made several statements that hurt their campaign. Mostly infamously, after Robert Kennedy was involved in a traffic accident, was the line "Those Kennedy's sure do have bad luck with cars huh? Good thing he wasn't in the front seat." Almost immediately was the rush to apologize for the rather callous tone, but the damage was done.

    Near the end of the campaign, almost an October surprise (it was in fact the end of September when it happened), the New York Times published an article entitled "ROY COHN, PROFESSIONAL PERJURER AND PIXIE!" The article claimed that not only did Cohn present false evidence during the Rosenberg trial, but he convinced Judge Irving Kaufman outside of the courtroom (something very improper) to grant them the death penalty. It also went further in claiming that during the McCarthy-Army hearings, he was involved in a homosexual relationship with Gerard David Schine, and that his marriage to Barbara Walters was a sham to hide his homosexuality.

    Cohn reacted as many expected, furiously. He went on national television to denounce the article as "malicious", "libelous" and "completely untrue" allegations. "I love my wife, and I am not, and have never been a homosexual." He publicly demanded an apology by the entire staff of the New York Times or he would sue. Roger MacBride weighed in on the issue, fully backing his choice for Vice-President by saying that, If I'm going to throw him under the bus because of some slander, then by God I don't deserve to be President!"

    And to further damage the Republican campaign was the last minute announcement of one more Independent Republican challenge. California Representative Pete McCloskey and Connecticut Senator Lowell Weicker. McCloskey and Weicker were known to be among the more liberal of the Congressional Republicans, and both were emphatically against the "new brand of Goldwaterism" that MacBride espoused. The biggest controversy of their run was not regarding their politics, but over Weicker's eligibility, being born in Paris to American parents.

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    Ultimately, in spite of the liberal Republican split, in spite of the many problems that plagued MacBride and Cohn, in spite of several closely called states, the Republicans won that year with a majority of the popular and electoral vote. In hindsight, the question of how becomes obvious:

    Sixteen years of Democratic Presidents, spread over four men, of which two died while in office, had run its course. Howell also had the distraction of not only running for President, but working to elect his own man as Senator in Virginia, something that took up valuable time and effort. Segregation was mostly beaten but in its place came new problems: busing, quotas, and push back by middle class and working class whites in the North. In the South however, the Democrats did surprisingly well. Part of it was the efficient ground game run by the Democrats, and especially Vice-President Brewer, and part of it was the successful demonization of the Republican ticket. The Democrats were able to paint MacBride as a drugs-and-abortion supporting Yankee, with his politics coming from untested theories and 1920's economics, while Cohn as an aggressively closeted homosexual whose marriage was a sham, and whose sex life was unspeakably deviant.

    Meanwhile, Howell and Brewer were made out to be working class men who fought for the New Deal, the nuclear family, and for law and order. Brewer had no problem telling voters, in every state he stopped by, the kind of things he heard from some Senators about Cohn's "fanciful New York night life", and even showed prospective voters the infamous NYT article. While eventually the New York Times retracted the article, alleging some of the sources were wrong or flat out lied, it didn't receive as much attention as when the story was initially broken.

    McCloskey and Weicker qualified too late to get on most state ballots, and received very few votes even where they were on the ballot. They won Massachusetts by a close margin over Howell and MacBride, with most of the states normal Republican voters abandoning the Republican ticket after the Kennedy comments. Some even charged high ranking state Republicans, like Senator Lodge, with encouraging defections to prevent the "radical" MacBride from winning.

    ---

    After two terms in the Senate, Paul Fannin decided to retire home. The two who ran to succeed him as the Republican nominee were Representatives Conlan and Steiger. Both ran a very close and tight race for the nomination, and at the end victory separated the two by only a few hundred votes. Over the next few days it flipped who had the small lead. Both already ran viscous ads against each other during the primary, and now they accused the other of wrongdoing, including falsifying ballots while they were being counted. Supporters of each man called the other "John Conman" and "Sammy Stealer".

    After a recount Conlan was barely ahead, only 67 votes after thousands had been found and discarded for each man. Instead of just rolling over and accepting defeat, Steiger announced he was running a write-in campaign, and asked the voters of the state not to "vote for the thief," and to back the real winner of the primary. Conlan denounced Steiger, castigating him as a libeler, a crook, and arrogant beyond belief for waging this "illegitimate, sore-loser campaign" after he had lost.

    Meanwhile, the third US representative running for the Senate seat, Morris Udall, was slowly built up his profile with voters of the state. Elected to the House in a special election for Arizona's 2nd district in 1961 (after his brother was appointed Secretary of the Interior by President Kennedy), he was known for his championing of liberal and environmentalist causes. In a normal year he likely wouldn't have won against a single Republican candidate, even a weak one, because of the nature of Arizona's electorate. But this year he faced a divided field, benefited from name-recognition, and an energized state party ready to take win the seat for the first time since 1946.

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    Governor Milton H. Graham predicted a Udall sweep, based on the "childish" and "immature" way both Republicans conducted themselves. Even as the Republican Party won the states electoral votes, and a majority of the House districts (including the 2nd), Udall was still able to win a majority of the vote. A large amount of Republicans chose either to abstain or vote for Udall, seeing neither Conlan nor Steiger as Senate-worthy given how they acted.

    ---

    Dubbed as "The Rematch" by Texas press, George Bush and Lloyd Bentsen faced off once more after six years. Two term House Representative George Bush's campaign in 1970 gave him a narrow majority of voters and enabled him to become the fourth Republican Senator from the Lone Star State. For the first time since Reconstruction both seats were occupied by the Grand Old Party. Part of it was 1970 being Humphrey's midterm, and part of it was liberal resentment of Bentsen primarying of Ralph Yarborough. Regardless of why he lost, Bentsen was the first Democrat to lose that Senate seat and spent some time in the wilderness.

    Texas Democrats were split between letting Bentsen another chance and giving Yarborough another chance. Eventually Yarborough, who lost a 1972 election against John Tower, ruled out a third run in six years. Afterward, Texan liberals failed to find a strong enough candidate to oppose Bentsen, who won the nomination. Immediately Bentsen had the advantage: he was a moderate Democrat in, in Texas, and a year where a popular Southern Democrat President was running for re-election. To further add to his advantages, the Bush campaign was facing a controversy as his son, George Walker Bush, was arrested for a DUI near Houston.

    Unfortunately the Bentsen campaign got a little too personal. Less was made on George H.W. Bush being a Carpetbagging Yankee as in 1970, and more was put on his son. "George Junior" was damned as a drunk, a draft dodger, and an example of "Bush Senior's moral failings", in the words of one infamous ad. Senator Bush made his famous reply during a debate, telling Bentsen that "[y]ou can insult me and attack me, but don't you dare attack my family you goddamn coward."

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    While polls put Bentsen in a lead for most of a campaign, possibly even a landslide after the DUI was made public, the negative response to the ad and Bush's response to Bentsen put the incumbent Senator just barely over the top. However, Senator Bush's second term would be cut short as he was appointed Secretary of State by President MacBride.
    ---

    While Howell's popularity out of the South was slowly eroding, it only kept going up, aside from a few hiccups, since he took office. Poverty, illiteracy, and sickness had been going down since the Johnson administration, and Howell was able to benefit from that by association and by keeping in touch with the voters. One of the largest opponents Howell personally had was Senator Harry Byrd, Jr.

    The son of the Byrd Organisation's namesake, Junior was denounced by the President in an ad as "The son of Virginia's long time feudal baron" and a "wholly illegitimate candidate [...] who is Senator because of his pappy, not because of his services to the state." Henry Howell recruited a sufficiently liberal candidate, former state rep and and then-state senator, Clive Livingston DuVal II, and worked tiredly to get him elected over Byrd in the primary. It worked, and DuVal would appear as the Democratic candidate against Republican Lieutenant Governor John Dalton.

    However, in a surprising move, Byrd announced he would be running as the Conservative Party candidate that election cycle. Originally they weren't going to contest the election, content in unofficially backing Byrd. After noticing how hard the President was campaigning against the senior Senator, the party leaders quietly assembled a caucus after the big two had their primaries. When looking at the Democratic and Republican nominees, they went ahead and nominated the incumbent Senator.

    The big loser of the race, something that was known even before the ballots were cast, was Dalton. DuVal had the President's backing, Byrd had the incumbency advantage and a devoted base. While Dalton didn't even have his party's support anymore, as big name Republicans moved to endorse Byrd or DuVal. Near the end of the campaign even Governor Holton moved to back DuVal, instead of his Lieutenant Governor, which was something the Conservatives made a big fuss over. Claiming that Howell's charges of Byrd being an "illegitimate candidate" were ridiculous when the President worked to hand-pick DuVal, and that the "Howell-Holton" machine were colluding to make him Senator.

    While he didn't quit his candidacy, Dalton announced he was prepared to accept defeat and told voters to vote who they thought would win rather then cast a wasted vote. Not an official surrender, but close enough to one in most people's eyes.

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    As President Howell swept his home state, DuVal beat Byrd by over 7 points. Dalton would make a comeback next year as the Republican candidate for Governor, but would lose to one of the most surprising gubernatorial nominees in the past 150 years.

    ---

    Overall the '76 election was a bust for the Democrats. They gained some seats here and there, but they lost the Presidency, failed to take the House, and narrowed their majority in the Senate. Weicker, despite getting less then a percent of the vote as a write-in candidate in Connecticut, won re-election to his Senate seat despite an attempt (ironically enough) by an Independent Republican to unseat him. Roy Cohn was succeeded by Republican David Rockefeller, brother of the long time New York Governor Nelson Rockefeller (who in fact encouraged him to run).

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    Notable re-election winners were Democrat Albert Gore, and Republican George Murphy, notable new comers were Democrat Morris Udall, and Republicans David Rockefeller of New York and William F. Quinn of Hawaii (who succeeded Hiram Fong).
     
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    Update 13: 1964, 1967, 1971, and 1975 UK general elections
  • The Conservatives had been in power for well over a decade by the time the 1964 General Election was called. They were down in the polls and were lead by the skeletal Scottish aristocrat Alec Douglas-Home. To make matters worse the seemingly rejuvinated Labour Party was led by the somewhat younger, pipe smoking Harold Wilson. As the campaign trail wore own the new shiny Labour machine began to ground to somewhat of a halt. This was partly due to the revelation that the then Labour Deputy Leader, George Brown was an alcoholic. Brown, who while very drunk in front of the press on Associated-Rediffusion television for a simple interview. In the interview the heavily intoxicated Brown managed to take a simple question as an accusation and having a row with actor Eli Wallach which became quite physical. The Labour Party politician also managed to turn a tribute for slain US President John F. Kennedy into a drunken, slurred insult of Kennedy. Wilson also entrusted Brown to campaign outside of London for him - in one speech he made a gaffe concerning mortgage rates - something the Conservative Chancellor of the Exchequer Reginald Maudling capitalised on and made a central issue of the campaign.

    The campaign was notable for the greater usage of 'dirty tactics' by both sides. Labour sought to capitalise on the 'Profumo Affair' by characterising the Conservatives as the party of out of touch aristocrats who lived immoral personal lives. The Tories retorted by hinting that Wilson was having an affair with his personal assistant with photographs talked of by some of the media. (This was later found to be a complete fabrication by the Tories and the conservative British Secret Service which had a vested interest in a returned Conservative Government.)

    The election night opened with a predicted Labour Majority of a few dozen seats. However when the first result came in, the BBC's in house psephologist, David Butler calculated that the swing from Conservative to Labour was not large enough to unseat the Tories - but it was also too large for the Tories to hold onto power. Throughout the night the swings varied and saw the increasingly flustered Butler recalculating his last recalculation. One of the iconic results was that of Smethwick where the potential Labour Foreign Secretary Patrick Gordon Walker was defeated by Conservative Peter Griffiths. What made this result all the more interesting was that Griffiths (allegedly, despite his denials) employed race-baiting tactics; with flyers asking constituents 'If you want a nigger for your neighbour, Vote Labour.'

    One of the other stories of the night was the Liberals - the party performed quite well and won 7 seats and increased it's vote share to nearly 10% of the vote. Though they also lost some of the by-election gains and their own Deputy Leader's seat.

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    The end result was left in some doubt due to the close nature of the results in some constituencies, namely three Northern Irish seats, Fermanagh and South Tyrone, Mid Ulster and West Belfast; all of which the Ulster Unionists (the de facto Conservative Party branch of Northern Ireland) won by slender margins. However by the next morning it was Sir Alec Douglas-Home who would be going to the Palace to receive Her Majesty the Queen's consent to form the next Government.

    ---

    Alec Douglas-Home was in reality nothing more than a placeholder waiting for the next Tory Leader to take over. Over the course of the few years after the 1964 Election his Government sought to implement some of it's manifesto pledges. Immigration was reduced and capped at a very small level, the Government tried once again to apply for membership of the EEC (once again vetoed by France's Charles de Gaulle) and the Government heavily whipped votes (despite being Private Member Bills) against Liberal & Labour efforts to legalise abortion, abolish the death penalty and decriminalise homosexuality.

    By the time 1967 rolled around Home was clearly exhausted - like Anthony Eden ten years before he was addicted to barbiturate and was suffering from acute stress. He therefore decided to resign as Tory Leader and Prime Minister in January 1967 - under the instructions that the leadership election not be decided by the 'Magic Circle' that appointed him, but rather by party MPs themselves. The race was fought between Chancellor of the Exchequer Reginald Maulding, Foreign Secretary Edward Heath and former Cabinet Minister Iain Macleod. On the first (and only) ballot Maudling led the other candidates 170 to 76 (Macleod) and 88 (Heath) respectively.

    Maudling appointed a new cabinet which had the likes of Keith Joseph (Employment), William Whitelaw (Home Secretary) and J. Enoch Powell (Defence) in it - there were also places for Deputy Leader Ted Heath, former PM and now Foreign Secretary Alec Douglas-Home and Chancellor of the Exchequer Iain Macleod. After a few months in which the new Prime Minister initiated several populist policies concerning the economy and immigration he called a General Election.

    The Tories were quite high in the opinion polls with Labour seeing it's support being eaten away by both the Tories and the resurgent Liberals. To make matters worse for Her Majesty's Most Loyal Opposition, Deputy Leader George Brown unsuccessful tried to defeat Harold Wilson in a leadership rematch. In his place, Gaitskellite Shadow Chancellor James Callaghan was appointed Deputy Labour Leader. In the ensuing 'purge' of the Shadow Cabinet of ''Brownites,' several new MPs made their way into the Shadow Cabinet, including Peter Shore who (surprisingly) became Shadow Defence Secretary on the advice of one of his (Wilson's) advisors.

    When the nation went to the polls in October 1967 there was a possibility that Labour could come second but perhaps come to power in a coalition with the Liberals. Such a possibility was quickly thrown out the window when the swing in Cheltenham showed that the Tories would in fact be increasing their majority. In the end the Tories gained 15 seats, Labour lost 13 and the Liberals lost two, falling to 5 seats. Notable results of the night included Griffiths holding Smethwick (with audible booing from the crowd), scuffles between the Ulster Unionist and Independent Republican candidates at the West Belfast count (which the Ulster Unionist managed to cling onto) and George Brown losing Belper thanks to a left wing 'Real' Labour candidate (secretly backed by Wilson) who split the Labour vote.


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    ---

    Wilson's resignation as Labour leader in 1969 roughly coincided with yet another failed Tory attempt to join the Common Market (yet again the buoyed de Gaulle vetoed it after his referendum win in France.) In the ensuing battle nearly ten candidate ran ranging from Bevanite to Gaitskellite. However as the rounds quickly progressed on with no winner in sight and big names being eliminated one by one it quickly became apparent that Peter Shore could potentially win. His support was strengthened when a leaked Downing Street memo revealed that "...really the only one [the Government] should be scared of is Shore..." Shore on the next round won convincingly and hurriedly appointed his opponents and supporters to his 'Unity Government in waiting.'

    By 1970 the tired and worn out Conservative Government which had nearly ruled for two decades saw it fit to devalue the Pound as the currency was too strong for trading. In the ensuing financial calamity Labour gained many points in the polls and thus forcing Maudling to call a General Election before the polls started to build a lead for Labour that would be too large to reverse. The General Election results showed Shore's Labour ahead by nearly three points in the popular vote; winning the election with a slender majority of six seats. The Liberals managed to increase their number of seats to 9 and vote to nearly 11%.

    Strong swings to Labour in England (though not enough to turn Smethwick red once again) were somewhat cancelled out in Scotland where the Conservatives (due to their devolution commission which brought in limited devolution for Scotland) gained several seats such as Glasgow Pollok (from Labour) and defeating the Baby of the House, David Steel in Berwickshire and Laura Grimond (wife of former leader Jo Grimmond) in West Aberdeenshire (gained by future leadership contender Lieutenant. Col. Colin C. "Mad Mitch" Mitchell.) The Unionists meanwhile maintained their 100% control over Northern Ireland due to gerrymandering, voter intimidation and brutal suppression of the IRA and NICRA marches.

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    Peter Shore who would go to the Palace and would form the first Labour Government in 20 years; though with the smallest Labour majority in the history of the party. After a series of negotiations with the Liberal Party and Thorpe; the Government announced a deal which would see Liberal support for confidence and budgetary motions; in return for a commission on electoral reform - a long time aim of the Liberal Party.

    ---

    Despite some suggestions that Reginald Maudling would resign as Tory Leader - he opted to not do so; despite the threat of a right-wing rebellion headed by either Keith Joseph or Enoch Powell.

    The Liberals were meanwhile consolidating behind Thorpe - especially after two prominent by-election victories (such as the Isle of Ely - won by Clement Freud; South Worcestershire - won by Nicholas Parsons and Ripon - won by David Austick.)

    The Labour Government initiated it's nationalistic policies towards Europe and the USA (where it made noise about leaving NATO.) British involvement in Vietnam was ended immediately as soon as Shore came into office and coincided with the US and Australian withdrawal from Vietnam and the start of an uneasy peace which holds until the present day. The Government ignored Liberal and backbench Labour attempts to liberalise the abortion, divorce, homosexual criminality and death penalty laws. The Government in response to growing violence in Northern Ireland proceeded to send the army in and attempt to crush the insurrection and introduced ID Cards for all citizens of NI and the rest of the UK - yet the Govt. was talked out of dissolving the Stormont Government by NI Premier James Glencairn Cunningham (who succeeded Brian Faulkner in 1972 after Falkner's five year tenure.) The Government reluctantly set up the 'Brown Commission' (headed by former Labour Deputy Leader, now Lord George-Brown of Jevington,) which was intended to look into reforming the electoral system. It recommended limited PR for local elections and for the Greater London Council elections - nothing concerning the far more important General Election was mentioned.

    In response the furious Thorpe, in 1975 withdrew Liberal support for the Government and supported a Conservative Vote of No Confidence in Shore's Government (which had lost it's majority due to a series of by-election defeats.) The VONC succeed, but was met with public antagonism which was reflected in the General Election results. The Conservatives fell back to 242 seats (including 12 Ulster Unionists) with 39% of the vote. Labour rose to a majority position on 375 seats rising to 46% of the vote. The Liberals, far from being punished gained seats to achieve their best result in decades, winning 14 seats on 13% of the vote - mainly gaining from Tory seats (and helped by the new boundaries.) However the Tories managed to increase their hold in Scotland (due to the SUP remaining Independent like the Ulster Unionists and devolution.)

    In response to the results Maudling resigned as the Tory Leader. In the ensuing Leadership Election the liberal Robert Carr won the election and was tasked with stopping the leakage of votes to Labour and to a lesser extent the Liberals.

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    Update 14: 1977 and 1978 elections
  • James Buckley's second and final term as the Mayor of New York City began on a rough note. After his highly controversial reelection against Robert Kennedy in 1973 and the ensuing strikes and riots which occurred directly and indirectly in relation to his reelection. Buckley set about continuing his some what authoritarian Conservative rule in the City and also continuing his economic austerity of his first term which had seen the City avoid bankruptcy (as was predicted when he came to power) and instead saw the City have it's budget go into the black and a surplus for the first time in many years. Strikes however remained a constant feature in the City with another public sector union calling one every week it seemed. Buckley - unlike Lindsay would have none of it and proceeded to crack down on the strikes using the state guard and the City's police force (even against some of their own striking members.)

    By the end of the Mayor's second term the City was a 'shining city on a hill' as opposed to the race riots in Los Angeles under re-elected Republican Mayor Bob Dornan and the speedy decline of Chicago and Detroit in the Mid West after the elections of a communist black nationalist (Detroit) and the messy fall of the Daley regime in favour of an incompetent left wing Socialist candidate (Chicago.) In 1976 Mayor Buckley opted to run for the Republican nomination for President - he was largely eclipsed by fellow New Yorker Conservative, Senator Roy M. Cohn; he did however win the Connecticut primary after his brother (a resident of the state) pulled some strings in the local Conservative and Republican Parties to allow his brother a rather strong victory. By 1977 Buckley was visibly bored in his role and left most of the important work to his aides - he had been secretly informed that he was being tapped for the Supreme Court seat of Lorna E. Lockwood (which he was.) At the General Election the Conservative Party of New York City was rather sparse for candidates and proceeded to nominate conservative radio commentator Barry Farber as their candidate. Farber then won the Republican nomination as well and was somewhat well placed against a generic Democrat...

    The Democrats surprised everyone when they (and the NYC Liberal Party) nominated feminist Congresswoman and failed 1976 Senatorial nominee Bella Abzug as their candidate for Mayor. The race was rather boring at first between the two flamboyant and controversial candidates; Farber held a distinct lead over Abzug up until the debates - however that lead evaporated after the debates when he made a series of comments that were perceived as sexist and misogynistic towards Abzug and women.

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    The polls instantly showed an Abzug lead and by polling day many expected that the Congresswoman would be the victor - however it would be Abzug, not Farber who delivered a concession speech the day after the close election. Some say it was the Abzug campaign's last minute withdrawing of ads and campaign staff, others say it was a last minute offensive by Farber campaign that let him overcome the distance between the two and pick up until then not very interested Republican voters.

    ---

    With the fairly distant loss of the Presidency in 1976, Henry Howell went home. It was a exhausting, mentally tiring job he felt he never should have had in the first place. Despite his own feelings of inadequacy and mild failure, he didn't want to just stop. He wanted to serve his country just a little bit longer.

    So, for the first time in 144 years, a former President of the United States announced he was running for a governorship. Much like in 1833 Massachusetts, when John Quincy Adams ran, the President faced an open field for the office. Howell did not rest on his fame and his loins as President, however, he campaigned like a young man running for his first office.

    His announcement captured not only state, but national and international attention. Even before half a year had passed from when he left office, people were talking about Howell as a possible candidate in 1980, a rematch against MacBride. Almost as quickly as the idea was brought up did Howell crush them, stating he had no intention of running for President again (even jokingly asking an audience to break his legs if he tries), and that he wanted to make up to his state for leaving them to go be Vice-President.

    Immediately there were two major candidates on the Republican front, sitting Lieutenant Governor, and failed 1976 Senate candidate, John N. Dalton, and former Democratic Governor Miles E. Godwin Jr., who had left the Democratic Party after Howell's "Liberal Purge" off the Byrd Machine. Godwin only officially joined the Republican Party a few weeks before filing to run for Governor, and was hit as a shameless turncoat and untrustworthy politician. Godwin fired back that Dalton would just give up in the last leg of the race, and that "when the going gets tough, Dalton gets going". Dalton, meanwhile, didn't take this lying down. He publicly apologized for betraying the trust of Republican voters in the state, and that he hoped they would give him a second chance to atone for his political sins. Dalton just barely beat out Godwin for the Republican nomination.

    And like another Virginia primary loser, he courted the Conservative Party. The party caucus, who now as a rule had their nominations after the Democrats and Republicans, voted for the former Byrd Machine Governor as their candidate. Immediately Howell was on the advantage. His two opponents hated each other and spent as much time fighting over the anti-Howell vote as they did trying to turn out their partisans.

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    Howell not only became the first Virginia Governor to be elected to a second full term, but the first Virginia Governor elected with over a million votes. And he wouldn't be the only member of his Presidency to be elected in the late 1970's.

    ---

    President MacBride entered with an ambitious agenda. Cutting tax rates by 30% across the board, repealing the National Environmental Act, repealing Medicare and Medicaid, and privatizing most of Social Security. As well as the repeal of several governmental cabinets and agencies. He justified his radical proposals by saying the need for the United States to cut back on spending was both fiscal and moral. Cutting back on aid would save on money in the long run, and would allow people the chance to do good to another another. "I have a dream," quipped the President in early 1977, "where no one has to rely on government assistance to make ends meet. Where our poor and weak can be helped by churches and volunteers, not cold, distant bureaucracies here in Washington who don't know where the money is being sent."

    His words were met with harsh words by the late Martin Luther Kings' family, who complained about the disrespectful usage of his famous words. Coretta Scott King said her husband, buried in late 1975 after a severe heart attack, was a fierce advocate of governmental assistance to the poor and needy and would have fought against MacBride's plans. She took up his mantle and assembled nearly one hundred thousand people in D.C. to protest the then-discussed abolition of Medicare and Medicaid.

    Congress's reaction to the President's plan were not much nicer. Senate Majority Leader Long arose as the main enemy to the President's plans. While the two were able to seek some major reductions in taxes, the biggest since the Kennedy years, the thin Democratic majority in the Senate was bolstered by liberal and moderate Republicans who saw the New Deal and Great Society programs, if expensive, rather successful and popular. Very few men wanted to go home and explain to the voters why they voted to kill Social Security and to starve grandma.

    Some Democrats saw the divide between the President, a committed ideologue, and most of the Republicans in Congress, men of convenience by trade. Senate Democrats worked to split that divide as hard as possible. One such instance revolved around Republican Senator George Murphy's attempts to combat drug trafficking and addiction, who wrote the Comprehensive Anti-Drug Trafficking and Addiction Law of 1977, which passed both Houses of Congress rather easily. The President vetoed it on constitutional grounds, further earning him the appellation of hippie by his enemies on the right.

    One particular tactic, called Merry-go-Round-Boxing by one White House insider, consisted of the Democrats hitting MacBride from all sides. The conservatives would hit him as a "hippie", "abortionist", and "coward on foreign policy", while the liberals would hit him as a "racist", "economic cutthroat", and "Coolidge-lite". This enabled them not only to deadlock the Presidents ambitions, but attack any given Congressional Republican on any given issue.

    Howard Baker relieved the worst of it, labeled a "baby-killer" and the "White House's #1 Stooge" by the press one day, and a "poor hating snob" the next. His Democratic opponent, William Robert Anderson, a former Naval Officer and exceptionally liberal Congressman by Tennessee standards, hit him for his support of the President's "Social Security reforms", which said was little better then throwing out the elderly and poor to the wolves. "The President and Senator Baker may want to take us back to before the New Deal, before the days of job safety, but I don't." Anderson had won the Democratic Primary by beating a large and divided group of candidates, emerging with more then 40% of the vote compared to many who fell just under 10 and 20%. Some old time machine Democrats, remembering his independent candidacy for governor back in 1962, and not liking the brazen liberalness of the man, moved to back Baker.

    However, the race was not quite a simple two man battle. Seeing the success of the New York Conservative Party, and the growing strength of Virginia's Conservative Party, Tennessee conservatives moved to establish a party of their own. They ran the popular speaker, and John Birch Society member, Thomas Jefferson Anderson. He made the election that year far more lively, handing out "Howard Baker cakes" at events ("filled with nothing but dough, like our Senator"), travelling around the state to ecstatic crowds, and taking potshots at everything under the sun. The President was hit as a castrated Yankee dog, the incumbent Senator as the weak-willed puppet of the Northern Republicans, and the similarly named Democratic candidate as a "proud friend of North Vietnam."

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    Whether Baker could have won without facing the Conservative Party candidate is unknown, what is known is that nationwide Conservative Parties (named that or something else) were popping up like weeds. New York, Virginia, Tennessee, and more.

    Baker wasn't the only incumbent to lose his seat, as seven new Democrats joined the Senate, two new Independents (James B. Longley of Maine and John Bell Williams of Mississippi, both former Democrats; Williams caucused comfortably with the Republicans, while Longley would be a very maverick member of the Democratic caucus), one new Conservative (Patrick Robertson of Virginia, who also joined the Republican caucus after receiving tacit Republican support) and two new Republican (Rudy Boschwitz who narrowly beat DFLer Walter Mondale, and Admiral Jeremiah Denton who beat Democrat Fob James for Alabama's special Senate election that year).

    Another interesting newcomer to the Senate was former Vice-President Brewer, formerly the President of the upper house, now a regular member. In 1979 the Senate voted to give him the honorary title Deputy President of the Senate, along with the same pay as the party leaders and President Pro Tempore. this title would also stand for any other former Vice-President who later joined the Senate.

    ---

    Speaker Gerald Ford, having achieved his life goal of being elected Speaker of the House in 1973, decided to voluntarily retire by 1976 and not continue in the House much longer. But he didn't want to just go out quietly. Having achieved his life goal, he made one strong push to become President of the United States under the new primary rules. He failed, holding not grudges, and left office in 1977, passing the Speakers gavel to friend and fellow Republican John Jacob Rhodes Jr. from Arizona. With Carl Hayden having been President Pro Tempore for a dozen years, and now Rhodes holding the Speakership, Arizona was one of a few states to have their men lead both Houses of Congress.

    Rhodes was popular, respected, and very competent at his jobs of Representative and Speaker. Unfortunately the White House gave him a third job, having to be their policy champion in the House, the one branch of Congress they controlled. Rhodes worked to pass the tax cuts, to curb the power of labor unions and labor bosses, and to eliminate as much from the trio of Social Security, Medicaid, and Medicare as possible.

    Unfortunately, despite his power as Speaker, he only had a narrow majority of the House seats to work with, and thus Rhodes wasn't able to achieve much of the last request. Governmental streamlining? Easy. Fighting the unions? Popular and doable. Attacking the third rail of politics? A Herculean task that Rhodes would failed to do even if he had a veto-proof majority.

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    While the loses in the Senate were moderate, the House dropped seventy Republican members and handed Californian John Joesph McFall the Speakership. The lack of any major success for the MacBride Administration during it's first two years, generally the most productive, was an ill omen of things to come. The non-Democratic or Republican caucus grew in size to be the biggest since 1938. Unlike 40 years ago, when it was only 8 Wisconsin Progressives and 5 Minnesota Farmer-Laborers, this caucus came from all over the US, elected on a bewildering number of party names. Freedom, American Independent, several states sent a Conservative or two, and Constitution. With the growing size of these men, they would move to establish themselves as a real party. A National Conservative Party in fact.
     
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    Update 15: 1980 Presidential Primaries
  • At first no one expected the President to be primaried. Even if his term in office wasn't the strongest, and even if he wasn't that powerful, he hadn't made any major blunders. The House had been lost under No major candidates stepped forth up until December 11, 1979, when Los Angeles Mayor Robert Kenneth Dornan announced he would challenge the President. Dornan at first was discounted by most of the media, but soon he proved himself a capable candidate.

    Dornan, before his election to mayor of Los Angeles, participated in the March on Washington in 1963, helped register black voters in Mississippi, he appeared in several movies and was even an Emmy-winning talk show host for six years. His campaign received the endorsement of several chapters of the NAACP and many black Republicans, such as Edward Brooke. The Republican primary was unique in each year the states that were up were randomly generated by a slot, and the first state's up that year was South Carolina and Lousiana, who had the second and third highest percentage of black voters in the country. While neither held that many delegates, and even fewer elected delegates, Dornan's campaign made an aggressive attempt to win them over. In a surprising move, Dornan won both by nearly two to one margins.

    At first the White House, and the media, were shocked. How did this West Coast mayor beat the President in two southern states? Soon it was discovered that the victories had to do with three groups of voters: socially conservative whites, black Republicans, and disenchanted MacBride primary voter from 1976. The first group didn't trust the President, his refusal to go for the killing blows on abortion in 1978 and 1979 made him their enemy. The second were, at first, optimistic about MacBride, but his small-government mantra betrayed any idea on aggressive civil rights action. The third were also optimistic about MacBride back when he was still an unknown entity, but his failure to deliver much as President, and his lack of attempts to reform the primaries (whose delegates were still mostly determined by powerful state bosses) soured a lot of them very quickly.

    The MacBride White House quickly moved to high gear. They had assumed they could wait until the general election to really start engaging voters, hoping to save money and effort until the end while the Democrats ran themselves ragged with a few strong candidates beating each other. That was the case no longer, the President was in desperate need to just maintain his already precarious position. The next primaries were over a week after the first two, held over one day in North Dakota, Iowa, and the biggie, Ohio. If Dornan could even make a strong second place finish, he could build up momentum to a primary victory.

    The Dornan campaign was strong in emotion, energy, and ground-level support. But it was weak on actual campaign infrastructure, name-recognition, and cash. The President, benefiting from incumbency, had all three in abundance even while being rather unpopular. Dornan took a few pages from 1976 MacBride, engaging the people of the state's he was canvassing, denouncing the President as "lacking morals" and a "impractical theorist" and as betraying what the people elected him as.

    After an facing the MacBride campaign, now serious and prepared, Dornan's earlier successes were written off as flukes, as the President not taking him on seriously. Macbride won the three states and would take all three states by hefty margins. Dornan would win a few more Southern states, like Georgia and Virginia, but even those states were won by smaller margins over time, and often didn't have enough pledged delegates to him. Ultimately, on the 30th of May, where the last half of the states were up, the campaign was finally broken. Dornan won his home state of California, and most of the west, but MacBride won New York, Texas, all of New England, and the remaining Midwestern states. MacBride won 29 states overall, compared to Dornan's 21.

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    Dornan, to his credit, took his loss maturely, thanking the people for fighting the good fight. Some Dornan partisan's wanted to get him the nomination of the National Conservative Party, who hadn't made any efforts to nominate anyone, but he declined and returned home. The official reason was the National Conservative Party hadn't yet come together enough to field a slate of electors in every state as a full party, but another reason was many inside the Party didn't feel they were ready yet to organize a run.

    They didn't have that one powerful member who they could rally around, they didn't really have a full (national) party apparatus, and while many people might say they'd vote for the National Conservative candidate, party insiders suspected those voters might jump to this years Republican or Democratic candidate over a particular issue: overall government interference, military opposition to the Soviets, busing, etc.

    ===

    Like the Republican Party four years earlier, the Democrats had no shortage of candidates. The Democrats in 1980 had a long line of candidates that faced off one another to combat MacBride. After four years in office, two of which with a Democratic Congress, he looked like prime material to be the first incumbent to lost since Hoover. The propaganda that the Democrats ran comparing the two at the time seemed to say as much.

    The first candidate to declare his candidacy was Russell B. Long of Louisiana, in late 1979, who resigned as both Senate Majority Leader and Finance Chairman to make his run for President. He even made the announcement he would not run for re-election to his Senate seat. What everyone first thought was a half-serious vanity run, or favourite-son run, was now turning into an actual candidacy. Long ran as enemy number one at the MacBride White House, talking himself up as the "man who saved the New Deal", and still managed to get things done for the country aside from obstructing the President.

    His status as Senate Leader gave him impeccable clout, and he tried hurriedly to gain the support of major Democrats, like former President Howell. Governor Howell, who reiterated his unwillingness to run again for President, waited for some time before handing out his endorsement. In the meantime two Senators jumped in, Birch Bayh of Indiana and Edmund Muskie (former Senator) of Maine. Shortly before the New Hampshire, a race many assumed Muskie would win, Governor Sam Yorty threw his metaphorical cowboy hat into the ring. Muskie's candidacy had led the other Democrats, aside from a half-hearted attempt by Jackson, to stay away from the first primary. By a margin of 23 votes, Yorty narrowly win the state due to a last minute media blitz, and the lukewarm reception Muskie and others received.

    After the first few primaries which were won by a mixture of all of the candidates in running it became apparent that only Scoop Jackson carried support outside of his respective 'region.' Senate Majority Leader Long's support mostly lay below the Mason-Dixon line and was quite shallow elsewhere. Governor Cliff Finch won his own state and with Jackson victories in Georgia and Florida prevented the Louisianan from sweeping the South fully. Governor Ed Muskie was consigned to the North East (though mostly New England), Senator Birch Bayh won the industrial Mid West and parts of the Great Plains and former Governor Sam Yorty won his native California and surprisingly won New Hampshire due to his popularity in the Granite State and also in Alaska. Only Scoop Jackson won primaries in all regions of the country and dominated his native West of the nation.

    Ultimately it was the much envied endorsement of Henry Howell which sealed the victory for Jackson and helped him win the final few primaries by a much larger lead than before. At the Convention Jackson was in the lead, with Bayh close behind him the delegate count and the other candidates placed quite far behind the two. First Yorty dropped out and endorsed fellow westerner Jackson after being promised a cabinet position (besides Defense or State) of his own choice. Then Finch pledged his delegates to Jackson and Muskie to Bayh; Long, however remained stubbornly in the race in the hope of making a deal with one of the two candidates or emerging as the compromise candidate. In the end he was left out in the cold as a Jackson/Bayh ticket was formed. Long was offered an Ambassadorship to a nice, quiet little country, which the Louisianan turned down, too melancholy to stay around now that he'd lost.

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    Update 16: 1980 Presidential election, preceded by two Chilean and one Italian elections
  • The initial Hubert Humphrey foreign policy emphasized two things, disengagement from Vietnam specifically, and disengagement from regime support generally. The South Vietnamese Government was massively, horribly corrupt. Some even figured them a bigger threat to South Vietnam then North Vietnam and the Viet Cong combined. Aid would be expended to allies, but actual troops would be kept to a minimum given the American distaste for "foreign adventures" Vietnam had caused. Humphrey tapped Richard Helms, then Director of the CIA, as Secretary of State, an unusually move at the very least. Helms was a nonpartisan public servant, working for the CIA in some capacity since the Truman years. Humphrey wanted a more secure link between the intelligence coming into the country, and the decisions that were made because of it.

    Alongside Helms was National Security Adviser Henry Kissinger, a former associate of New York Governor Nelson Rockefeller, who was the one to recommend the man to join Humphrey's Administration. Kissinger was notable for preaching a détente with the Soviet Union when it was rather unpopular in the upper echelons of the US government, at least at the time. Kissinger also made the recommendation of the US working over the People's Republic of China toward their side, and pitting the two biggest Communist countries against one another, and idea frigidly received by the rest of the Humphrey Administration. Probably the most controversial idea the man proposed was of using the CIA to dispose the Chilean government in the event of the Presidential election being won by the Socialist Salvador Allende. Humphrey excluded Kissinger from the Cabinet after that idea, instead funding an eventual Radomiro Tomic victory, and Kissinger stuck around mostly powerless until the midpoint of the Howell Administration where he was let go.

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    The biggest success in Asia was when Bangladesh (then East Pakistan) seceded from (West) Pakistan after heavy grievances from it were treated with excessive military force, and India (backed by the US, Great Britain, and France) forced the Pakistan government to submit and remove their military presences. Unfortunately Humphrey's hands-on foreign policy died with him, and for the fourth time in a row, a new Democratic President moved to make changes in how it was conducted.

    With the premature death of Humphrey, and Howell now in office, the foreign policy was handed off to Richard Helms and the State Department. The new President was mostly informed about the administration's policies, domestic and foreign, but Howell lacked the "intellectual rigor" (in his own words) to pursue an overarching foreign policy. Instead the new President and Vice-President worked to combat the domestic issues that were weathering down the nation, poverty, racism, urban crime, drugs, and such. Helms, who's intelligence background made him convinced how essential trust was to a working team, took the President's delegation of essentially the whole realm of foreign policy very seriously. He never kept the President out of the loop, and, even when Howell started to side with Henry Jackson over the issue of détente with the Soviet Union, always tried to pry the President more toward soft tactics against the threat of Communism, often times aggravating the President to no end.

    The continued "soft power" approach meant more funding was put toward electing American allies who could both keep the Soviet-backed groups, or those assumed to be pro-Soviet, out of power. It meant that the groups they'd back would have to be ideologically flexible, in order deliver some economic relief to the kinds of voters who flocked to the Socialists and Communists. Usually they were Christian Democratic groups in Europe and Latin America, who mixed economic leftism with religious anti-communism. Often times, when the far left groups were close into power, the CIA would harass the opposition to put up a united front. When dealing with a legislature of double digit parties, in say Italy, where they ranged from far left to far right, it required some very strange coalitions.

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    The biggest failure in the Howell foreign policy front was the beginning of the Chilean Civil War in 1976, where the newly elected leftist government was couped by a military cabal, lead by General Roberto Viaux, and the nation erupted into a war between supporters of the elected Government, including former President's Alessandri and Tomic, and anti-Communists who saw the election of Allende as a danger to the nation. The late-term Howell Administration wasn't quite sure what to do, act decisively now and possibly hand over a quagmire to their successors, or fail and let the situation develop into a quagmire. Eventually they decided to blockade the country, hoping to pressure the coup instigators to quit. The MacBride administration began by continuing that policy, and overseeing the reconstruction of the country after the short, but painful, fighting.

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    Richard Helms continued on as Secretary of State until mid-1977, when the fighting stopped in Chile and he felt he was no longer needed or welcomed. While MacBride held no ill will against the man, the two didn't have the same kind of relationship as Howell and Helms did. The new President had no need to rely on Helms, having plenty of his own men he could rely on for political advice. He was urged to appoint Texas Senator George H. W. Bush as his Secretary of State, and even Helms suggested the man would be a good replacement. So, MacBride called over his Senate colleague from a few months back and asked him to join the cabinet. Despite some controversies at home, mostly regarding his son, Bush was passed by the Senate easily.

    MacBride wasn't the most worldly man in office, but he was a quick study and very stubborn. He was far more engaged then Howell, leaving domestic affairs alone mostly but being very interested in exporting American democracy and freedom. He wanted to make not just America, but the world, a more free place. He was a man of strong morality, despite what his critics hit him with, and did not see allies underneath dictatorships as something to aspire to. This, like his domestic policies, were well-intentioned but mostly unsuccessful. The ideas were there, but they didn't amount to much outside of platitudes and pressuring some allies to liberalize, like the Iranian monarchy: which tipped back and forth between rule by the Shah, nearly dead by this point, and rule by the Parliament, which was gaining in power as the monarchy was hobbled by the lack strong opposition from the once all-powerful Shah.

    ---

    But ultimately the people didn't care about foreign policy. They cared about the economy, what their Presidential candidates had to offer, and what the situation looked like. The political aura of 1980's America was somewhat odd. An unpopular President presiding over a decent economy, with little actual successes behind his back. Normally a good economy and a lack of scandals would be an autopilot victory. Not so in this year.

    A reverse of four years emerged, the incumbent Republican President now faced a Democratic challenger who cleared away his more well known and traditional primary rivals for the nomination. It was a battle of wits, personality, region, and histories. MacBride represented the Libertarian faction of the Republican party, which stressed low government in business, in the bedroom, everywhere. They championed peace and economic liberty as panaceas for the worlds problems. Jackson represented what some derisively were calling "wardoliberalism" (a portmanteau of "war", referencing Jackson's known hawk views, and the German "ordoliberalism", referencing his claims in one interview that he viewed that as the ideal form of liberalism). "Wardoliberalism" became shorthand for a mixture of anti-communism and a commitment to protecting democracy and human rights with America's might. Political activist David Nolan described it as "the worst excesses of economic and bedroom statism [...] the Democrat's won't be happy until the government has complete control over the economy, over what you're allowed to do in your home, what you're allowed to think, it's a rancid belief."

    The economy was doing ok. After some unstable years it was finally growing at a constant pace. MacBride was able to take credit by not actually taking credit, claiming that the Presidency had grown beyond its means, and the reduction of power allowed other parts of government to do more. Some took this as an admission he wasn't responsible for the economy, the Democratic Congress was. Despite winning his primary, the Republicans were rather pessimistic about MacBride. Sure, he had conceded more to the Democrats and gotten more done, sure he had tried to appeal to the party mainstream by adopting some measure of 'statism', but many were just not quite comfortable trusting him for a second term. Many conservative voters were swayed by Henry Jackson.

    Anti-busing, strong on defense, Jackson had encouraged a lot of Republican voters to come to his side. He was a main reason why the National Conservatives weren't interested in running, he was legitimately popular among their base and could hobble them in their first run. However, if he attracted Republicans and Conservatives, he alienated black and youth voters (who were a bit turned off by his rhetoric of a "War on Drugs", by use of military for combating drug trafficking, later repudiated as a "gaffe" by the candidate). There was also the health issue. Henry Jackson was seventeen years older then MacBride (Macbride being born in 1929, Jackson in 1912) and he looked rather old and sickly at times. People didn't want another President to die of illness, nor elect a dying man to office.

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    Eventually, the choice was made for the safer candidate. One who didn't alienate Americans with talk of war and "taking the fight to them [the Soviets]." Jackson was probably more liked then MacBride, but ultimately deemed not to be the better choice.

    MacBride won a victory that seemed to be an endorsement of his libertarian ideals over the Waroliberal New Deal and Social Conservatism of the Democratic ticket and party in General. MacBride made several inroads into the south taking states such as Mississippi and Arkansas which had, a mere four years before rested firmly in the Howell column. This may have been down to the pro-abortion stance of Birch Bayh which was played up in the South by Southern Republicans (despite the head of the Republican ticket being also quite pro-abortion.) This lead many to speculate that the Democratic iron fist grip over Dixie was finally loosening. This prediction would either be rubbished or proved wrong.

    This rise in Republicanism in the South seemed to be at the expense of the Republicans in the West. The east coast (bar California) was dominated by the Democrats who also won Arizona, California and New Mexico for the first time since the 1964 rout. This was put down to the perceived western roots and populism of Jackson (his 'conservative' credentials were intentionally and unintentionally made an issue of the campaign which saw many 'Yorty' or 'Pinto' Democrats in the border states swing the Jackson ticket. Republican domination of the North East was cemented with the Democrats falling further behind in past strongholds such as Massachusetts, New York and Rhode Island.

    The election was marked by the large levels of negative campaigning by both campaigns; despite the supposed 'optimistic' campaign messages of the Democrats and Republicans ultimately it was an election of fear. People were terrified that Jackson would nuke Russia and start World War III. People were spreading rumors that MacBride was going to pull out of Europe and let the Soviets walk in.

    ---

    Bob Stump was for the first half of his political life a "Pinto Democrat", which in Arizona parlance meant a rural and conservative member of the Democratic Party who affiliated with the party, often voted in their primary, and would often vote Republican (or at least the more conservative candidate) in the general. In the early days of Arizona, from statehood to the 1950's, the Democratic Party would rule the state almost completely, holding nearly every elected office possible. Often time in the legislature the battle wasn't between Democrats and Republicans, the latter of whom usually held single digits in both houses, but between liberal Democrats and conservative Democrats. The liberals denounced the Pinto Democrats as owned by the "Interests", like the mine and railroad owners, conservatives denounced the liberals as communists, beholden to union bosses and radical organisations like the IWW.

    After the election of Barry Goldwater in 1952, the state started to loosen the Democratic Party's grip on the state. An influx of Pinto Democrats came in the 1960's, aided by men like the retired Goldwater. In the 1974 primary election, long time state representative, and WWII Navy veteran Bob Stump won with only 29% of the vote. He won the Senate election over a minor Phoenix councilman and served a fairly forgettable term as Senator. He was seen as distant and unresponsive to his state, a growing western one that needed money and long term support. One of the reason's Carl Hayden served so long was his ability to provide both, even after the state electorate swelled.

    So, in 1978, Attorney General Bruce Babbitt announced he would not serve a second term and would instead challenge Stump for Senator. Babbitt, a young and popular state officer, risked a certain career for a semi-long shot candidacy. Eventually neither he nor Stump were challenged in their primaries, the Arizona Conservative Party declining to field a candidate (and in fact endorsing Stump), making the election season extend beyond what was normal for the state.

    The main debate was Stump's non-presence in the state, physically and fiscally. Arizona needed more federal monies, argued Babbitt, and a more involved Senator then Stump, who was known as a perpetual naysayer on the topic of spending money, any money outside of the military. The Stump campaign, very little was replied by the candidate himself, argued that a commitment to fiscal responsibility was better for the state economy then high taxation and sealing off state lands, as they claimed Babbitt would support. The Stump campaign made the error of involving Senator Udall into the race, attacking them both and trying to tie Babbitt and him as one radical eco-socialist chimera. Perennial candidate, and Stump spokesperson, Evan Mecham also made an infamous statement where he dismissed Babbitt as a "Soviet stooge", and Udall as " a tree-hugging cripple", a crude allusion to the junior Senators Parkinson's Syndrome.

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    Babbitt's youthful appearance, his strong media presence, and support from Henry Jackson allowed him to snag the Senate seat by a fairly good margin. Stump retired back to Arizona, and made efforts to involve himself more with the people of the state, planning a possible comeback one day. Overall the Congressional results were good for the Democratic Party. They retained both Houses for now in spite of failing to take back the Presidency. 4 new Democrats were elected, 2 new Republicans, and one new Conservative to the upper house. No one would expect the Conservative Caucus to explode in size in a few years.
     
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    Update 17: 1980 and 1981 UK general elections
  • The Conservative Party was shocked not so much by it’s defeat in 1975 but rather the fact that they lost seats to the controversial Labour Prime Minister. The Liberal Party were buoyant that they had finally managed to hit double figures. After Maudling resigned there was a fight between the moderate to liberal ‘One-Nation’ wing of the party and the right wing ‘Monday Club’ faction of the party. Robert Carr, the now Shadow Home Secretary, was the candidate of the party left while former 1922 Committee Chairman candidate and Party Chairman, Edward du Cann was the candidate of the party right. In the end Carr won by around 55% of the votes cast (155 MPs) to du Cann’s 104 votes and the maverick ‘Powellite’ candidate Alan Clark who won 23 votes in a surprisingly strong showing. Both of the losing candidates were offered Shadow Cabinet posts, du Cann refused and remained Party Chairman, Clark accepted and became Shadow Leader of the House (of Commons.)

    The Shadow Cabinet was a blend of liberal ‘Carr-ites,’ moderate upper-class traditionalists, Ulster Unionist, and Monday Club right wingers - these splits, which the leadership failed to hide mostly helped the Labour cause that was (rather ruthlessly) projected as being a party of unity. This message of unity was somewhat false considering several right wing MP’s were in the process of being de-selected by left wing controlled party constituency branches - such individuals included Reginald Prentice, who would later defect to the Conservatives, Desmond Donnelly who formed the Democratic Party and won re-election at the next election under than banner; Christopher Mayhew defected to the Liberals in 1974; Eddie Milne and Dick Taverne both left the party after being deselected and became Independent Labour and Democratic Labour Party MP’s respectively. These defections helped to starve the Labour Government of a majority and thus ensured that Short and his Whips had to rely on the support of the Liberals and (ironically) some of their defectors.

    The majority of the Conservative caucus representation was dominated by hardline right wing ‘Powellite’ ‘Monday Club’ MP’s - this all but assured Carr's defeat to a right wing candidate when he was challenged in 1978 for the leadership. However the candidate selected was unexpected and was known for espousing very right wing views on immigration and other social issues. Alan Clark had served as the interim Shadow Defence Secretary and was a renowned historian and member of the Monday Club. The Plymouth MP managed to defeat Carr after several ballots of the party aided by the entrance of other liberal candidates who split the left wing vote and the withdrawal of other right wing candidates.

    Things came to a head when Labour refused to support Liberal efforts to introduce PR (Proportional Representation) at the local level for elections. The Liberals in response decided to back a Tory introduced Vote of No Confidence. The measure was defeated handily, but forced Shore (out of humiliation) to go to the Palace and request Parliament be dissolved for yet another General Election. The main issues of the campaign were the economy - which had gradually been corroding over the last few years, trade union strikes which plagued the nation the year before and civil liberties - this issue was brought to ahead by the adoption of ID cards by the Government to combat the sparse Irish Republican terrorism and the various race riots in inner cities. The Tories campaigned under a radical ‘Britain First’ manifesto calling for "case by case" choices on nationalisation or privatisation, the retention of the ‘draconian’ ID cards and for a more socially conservative platform. Labour campaigned on ‘staying the course’ and not ‘changing course midstream;’ meanwhile the Liberals campaigned on a somewhat libertarian manifesto which called for the legalisation of abortion and the decriminalisation of homosexuality.

    The election coincided with a planned referendum on British membership of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO). This plan was met with unease and even open opposition from those on the right of the Labour Party such as Chancellor Roy Jenkins and Defence Secretary David Owen but support from those on the left like Shore and Foreign Secretary Richard Crossman. The issue was threatening to split the Labour Party; Shore therefore resolved, not to drop his ‘pet project’ but rather go to the country once again and receive a mandate from the country specifically on this issue.

    When the votes were finally counted Labour emerged with a majority of 21 and 329 seats. The Tories rebounded back to 286 seats (once again the Ulster Unionists won all 12 seats, despite West Belfast going to several recounts.) The Liberals increased their seats to 16 seats. The Scottish Nationalist Party won an extra seat, taking their number of seats to 3; mostly gaining votes from Labour in Scotland and proving to be a useful spoiler for the left of centre vote for the Tories who held firm north of the border. Plaid Cymru retain it’s only seat in parliament. Rather alarmingly the far-right National Front managed to win a seats (West Bromwich) on low turnouts and the ‘moderate’ vote being split by multiple candidates.

    Shore's 'Pet Project' also was endorsed by the British people by a 54-46 margin.

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    Clark made no secret of his antagonism towards the liberals who had controlled the party for the past few years and sacked left wing ‘ONT’s’ from the cabinet. In response a significant group of around thirty moderates and liberals headed by former Shadow Cabinet member Ian Gilmour and Kenneth Clarke defected to the Liberal Party during July 1980.

    The new Liberal MP's managed to sway the party to the right on several economic issues, something which earned the ire of many of the ‘real’ Liberals who were annoyed the amounts of influence that the new Tory intake held. Up until late 1980 Labour held a continuous lead of the Conservative opposition. Then at the Labour Conference in winter 1980, Shore announced his intention to stand down (and not be beaten by the Tories in a potential rematch against Clark.) In the ensuing melee that saw left and right face off in an increasingly nasty race the centre-right Anthony Crosland beat out Michael Foot, Barbara Castle, John Silkin, Dennis Healey, Albert Booth and Tony Benn to claim the prize. His victory proved to the straw that broke the camel's back, when a group of 20 left wing MP’s left the party and formed the Democratic Socialist Party in protest against Crosland's ‘right wing agenda.’ Crosland was faced with a resurgent Conservative Party rising in the polls and being within several points of winning the election. Crosland therefore reluctantly called a General Election in October 1981 with the hope that he could at the very least form a coalition with the Liberals. His chance were harmed when it transpired through an expose in the Daily Sketch that he (allegedly) had engaged, while at university, in an "illicit" homosexual affair with fellow Labour grandee, Roy Jenkins - a claim both vehemently denied (but made to see less true - due to Jenkin's support of socially liberal policies in the late 1960's.)

    Despite gaining in the polls in the last few days of the campaign the damage was done and it was Alan Clark who went to the palace on the 16th of October 1981 to seek to form a Government of 353 Conservative & Scottish & Ulster Unionist MP’s. The Tory 'landslide' managed to take out most of the defectors to the Liberals (Kenneth Clarke noticeably held on in his Rushcliffe seat) and provided troubles for several members of the Cabinet (including Chancellor David Owen who was defeated in Plymouth Devenport.) The two most important results of the night were the defeats of Crosland and Thorpe in their respective constituencies - both by a handful of votes and after several recounts. The DSP won 8 seats out of their original 20 MP’s while 2 of the 3 SNP MP’s were wiped out in the Tory landslide in Scotland; meanwhile the NF rose to three seats and the PC's remained steady with their sole seat.

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    Update 18: The Manson Family attacks
  • 1981 was one of the most shocking years in American politics. Unlike other years where the news was a matter of the quantity of scandals or problems, '81 was dominated by one event and one event alone: The April 12 White House Attack.

    A little background is needed. On November 12, 1934, a sixteen year old girl named Kathleen Maddox gave birth to a boy in Cincinnati, Ohio. He was soon named Charles Milles Maddox, and after his mother married a laborer by the name of William Manson, his name was changed to Charles Milles Manson. Little is known about his biological father, although some speculate he was a black man by the name of Colonel Walker Scott, which Manson denied throughout his life. His family life wasn't easy, his mother a habitual drinker and petty thief, and at a young age he was moved around to various family members to take care of him.

    Manson began committing small acts of burglary and moved his way up to more violent crimes such as armed robbery, and was rotated in and out of various camps and prisons as he got older. Eventually he married a hospital waitress, Rosalie Jean Willis, and had a child with her, who was born while Manson was imprisoned. Circa the late 1960's he was living with multiple women in a kind of commune in California. He repeatedly kept getting arrested, worked in the music industry, and was caught stalking actress Sharon Tate at her home in California in 1969 armed with weapons. Despite previous convictions, Manson was able to avoid arrest and was let go. After that incident him and his 'family' dropped under the radar for some time.

    In later years it was found they were committing various murders and crimes in the California desert, but were able to avoid being captured or noticed for almost a decade. Some suspect all their of their victims haven't yet been found.

    The Manson family appeared again publicly around the late 1970's, preaching an end of the world, of racial riots, nuclear warfare, and the ultimate damnation of all mankind. The eventual culmination of their apocalyptic rhetoric was an attempted false flag attack on the White House, armed with various kinds of guns and even a rocket launcher, they would assassinate the upper echelons of the American Government, pin it on the Black Panthers, and start the race war they were planning.

    Over thirty people were planned to meet up on April 12th, only sixteen showed up as various others were found smuggling in guns, arrested for public drinking or fighting, and other minor acts that nearly derailed the whole plan. Eventually the remaining group went ahead and attacked the White House. The rocket launcher missed hitting the Oval Office head on, but blew out most of it, injuring many (including the President) and killing several aides and Secret Service members. Half of Manson's group was killed by the guards, and six others were heavily wounded, one being rendered brain-dead after the shootout was over.

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    Thirty-nine people in the White House died in the attack, and an additional fourteen were injured. President MacBride was left unconscious for nearly two weeks. Roy Cohn, who was in New York visiting a friend of his wife at the time, was immediately picked up and briefed on the situation. For the two weeks he was surrounded by agents who needed to keep the Acting President safe.

    There was a prevalent fear that the attack was a sign of things to come, with even more of Manson's goons ready to assassinate government members. Instead almost all of them were found and detained within several days of the attack. The suspense of a possible government overthrow was quickly debunked, but the memory of the attack, and the paranoia of the next few days stuck with many Americans.

    By the time MacBride woke, a full month after the attack, he found himself with the news of what happened as well as his situation. The attack hadn't mortally wounded him, but damage to his spine left him crippled from the waist down. Several hours after finding the news, and being declared mentally competent enough to make the decision, he decided to resign the Presidency. Acting President Cohn became the 40th President of the United States. Cohn himself was informed of this promotion almost immediately and got to work finding a suitable Vice-President for himself and repairing the White House, which had most of the North Portico destroyed by the attack.

    For the next two and a half years Charles Manson would be the most infamous man in America. His trial was probably the most covered in the world at the time, and possibly even today. The eventual jury decision to execute him was met with a sense of relief by Americans. The President himself noted "Our long national nightmare is over [. . .] and now we may finally rest easy."

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    Update 19: The birth of the National Conservatives, and the 1981 and 1982 elections
  • The second biggest piece of political news in 1981, eclipsed only by the Manson attack and MacBride's subsequent resignation, was the formation of the National Conservative Caucus in both the House and Senate. While the House had many non-Democrat and non-Republican members who merged into one, the Senate drew mostly from the most conservative Democratic and Republican candidates and the few non-Democratic/Republican members.

    Almost immediately after their announcement, they were mocked and tarred as the "New Confederate Party" for their membership. The 1981 defectors were:

    1. Pat Robertson (C-VA)
    2. Jeremiah Denton (R-AL)
    3. John Stennis (D-MS)
    4. John B. Williams (I-MS)
    5. George P. Mahoney (D-MD)
    6. Harry Boivin (D-OR)
    7. Jesse Helms (D-NC)
    8. George Smathers (D-FL)
    9. John Tower (R-TX)
    10. Odell McBrayer (D-TX)
    11. John Porter East (D-NC)
    12. Herman Talmadge (D-GA)
    13. Larry McDonald (D-GA)
    14. Lucien DiFazio (C-CT)

    Out of the initial 14 members, 2 were from outside the South (Connecticut Conservative Lucien DiFazio and Oregon Democrat Harry Boivin) and 5 were at the time not Democrats (Pat Robertson [who's father was a Democratic Senator], John B. Williams [who was a Democratic Governor in preceding decades], John Tower, Jeremiah Denton, and again Lucien DiFazio). Before they were considered minor threats who would nip away at the knees of less conservative politicians. While some rumors swirled about a unified caucus in the House, no one expected over a dozen Senators to switch and suddenly hold the balance of power in upper chamber.

    The National Conservatives planned to hold up confirmation for a possible VP for most of 1981, wanting to draw out the process as much as possible. Cohn's pick was a very unique one. His choice for Vice-President was a Californian, a two Representative, a woman, but most famously she was once a child star. Cohn nominated Shirley Temple Black as his Vice-President on August 23, 1981. His pick was based off of her "strong conservative stands, bravery in the face of personal tragedy [referencing her battle with breast cancer], her work on the 27th [Equal Rights] Amendment", and her wide knowledge on topics ranging from world affairs to business and health issues. Elected in 1976 to the House of Representatives after primarying Pete McCloskey, she drew national media attention and quickly proved to many she was a serious public servant, not a media-hounding celebrity in the short time she was in the House.

    Insiders noted how Cohn, the first Jewish President, wanted to fulfill several agenda's at once. He wanted to pick a capable VP, naturally considering how four out of the six previous ones jumped up to the Presidents seat via a death, election, or resignation; but he wanted someone more "traditionally American" and media-popular then him (he had no problems admitting he wasn't trusted by some on account of his Jewishness, and the fact he wasn't the best looking man on camera), as well as someone who could draw bipartisan acclaim during the confirmation. She was substantially more liberal then him, despite his claims, which made her appointment surprising to some who were pushing for more conventional appointees. But his tactic paid off in the end.

    The Senate, still technically run by Majority Leader Frank Church, who actually held a plurality of seats, managed to subvert any plans by the Conservatives that they would try and turn the confirmation into a media show. It was quick, on topic, and rather pleasant for the liberals in the two bigger parties. The House, still under the rule of Speaker McFall, voted 367-56 to confirm her, and the Senate voted 89-10 to confirm her.

    She was sworn in by Chief Justice Frank Johnson on October 2nd, 1981 as the 43rd Vice-President of the United States.

    ---

    The fact that their name was the "National" Conservative Party made it the butt of many jokes. One late night comedian mocked it saying, "only a bunch of yokels who couldn't count would think a mostly Dixie caucus constituted a national party." All of sudden regionalism in politics had surged back into the forefront. Ever since the 1948 election, where the Solid South had been bent but not broken, and the 1960's, where it's iron grip had slowly eroded away, the South had been fertile ground for new Republican politicians. Sure growth had been slow and erratic, with Presidential elections and Congressional elections swinging back and forth, but it was there.

    Now all of a sudden a new party had emerged with the South as it's center of being. Many of them, such as their Party Dean John Stennis, gave the age old excuse "I didn't leave the party, the party left me." A drafted letter, entitled A Conservatives Plea, was published with the names of the Senate Caucus at the end of it, and explaining their reasons: They opposed the growing centralism of governmental power that the Democrats and many Republicans went for. They opposed the high taxation needed to finance government welfare of people, corporations, and foreign governments that had been happening since Roosevelt. They wanted a "moral government" after "decades of adulterers, abortionists, and sodimizers" in high offices. That last one, a tacit callback to the infamous "PERJURER AND PIXIE" headline, meant they had no intentions of just allowing Cohn to have an easy time as POTUS.

    This meant that the grandfather of the party, the New York Conservatives, were split. Ideologically speaking there was not much separating the New York Conservative Party and most of the National Conservatives. Culturally there was a lot. The biggest issue was that of President Cohn. The NYConservatives got their first statewide elected politician in the form of Senator Roy Cohn, back in 1970. For many of them, it was a choice between backing Cohn (who brought the party much respectability and influence in the national scene) and backing the new national affiliate (which wanted to make themselves known as a hard right vehicle, more concerned with making a name for opposing things like 'moderation' or 'compromising').

    The New York Republican Party had not doubted which horse it was going to ride, they was backing their President. But the Conservatives were split down the middle. Cohnists seized control of the primary and nominated maverick Republican Herbert London as their nominee. Incensed, anti-Cohn Conservatives set up their own ticket, with academic John Esposito on the National Conservative ticket as well as the Freedom Party ticket.

    Technically speaking, both the National Conservative Party and the Conservative Party of New York State were different parties, albeit with similar names and a lot of overlap. The National Conservative Party had to run by that name in the state otherwise it would be disqualified for being too similar to the original Conservative Party. Many simply refer to the pro-Cohn Conservatives as the Cohn Faction, and the anti-Cohn Conservatives as the Loyalist Faction (as in loyal to the tenets of Conservatism, rather then any one person), for simplicity.

    The Democratic Party and Liberal Party both nominated Elizabeth Holtzman, then famous for being the youngest woman elected to the House of Representatives (at the age of 31) and for beating fifty year incumbent Emanuel Celler in a primary. She also worked on extending the deadline for state legislatures to ratify the Equal Rights Amendment. Given the bitter split between the two Conservative Parties, she expected to easily coast to victory, especially after Esposito was heard bragging he'd win because his opponents "will cut the Jew vote in half." (Both Holtzman and London were Jewish, and Esposito was an Italian Roman Catholic.)

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    Instead Esposito got third place, and Holtzman became the first woman mayor of NYC. For now it seems like the Cohn Faction had the upper hand, but at the cost of hastening their fusion with the New York Republican Party. Cohn himself made the choice to not intervene in the election, taking a calculated gambit that appearing would make it look like he was running the party from the shadows, rather then being supported from the grassroots.

    ---

    While still Governor for all of 1981, Governor Howell had been drafted to help out his country one more time. With MacBride hospitalized, Howell offered his services to the new acting President. Originally Howell and Cohn disliked each other, Howell thinking the man crooked and having spread some of the homosexuality rumors, Cohn thinking the ex-President a little SOB bumpkin, and while they never grew to be as friendly as Howell and MacBride, they were able to put aside their differences in the early days of Cohn's Presidency. Howell acted as a stabilizing agent for the new administration and for the country.

    However, despite believing his earlier claims he'd finish his term as Governor, many back home felt Virginia had a distracted Governor. Not technically running for President, Howell spent most of his last year in office assisting Cohn, consoling his friend MacBride, and overseeing the Manson trials, which continued into the term of his successor.

    Three men emerged as possible contestants for Howell's successor. Lieutenant Governor Chuck Robb, the son-in-law of former President Lyndon Johnson, emerged as the sole Democratic candidate, black businessman (and former Democratic Party member) Maurice Dawkins was chosen as the Republican nominee after a tough primary, and finally George Lincoln Rockwell had emerged as the Conservative candidate once more. Despite his previous career as the most infamous white supremacist in America, Rockwell had turned away from neo-Nazism more then a decade ago. Many still found him to be dangerous and harboring loyalties to his old friends despite his claims to the contrary.

    Despite starting as low as 10% of the general election vote, Rockwell punched upward and punched hard. He attacked Howell for abandoning Virginia, he attacked Robb for nepotism and conspiring with Howell to make himself the Governor in all but name (Robb served as acting Governor for most of the time Howell was out of state that year), and he attacked Dawkins for being a shameless party turncoat. The election turned into a dung match, with all three men campaigning negatively at one another for months at a time.

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    Eventually Rockwell, with slightly more then 38% of the vote, and a likely a lot of vote-splitting between Robb and Dawkins, became Governor. The newspapers across the state proclaimed the end of a peaceful and lawful Virginia, the Legislature started considering a Lousiana-style runoff to prevent anymore plurality wins, and petitions for Rockwell's recall started the day after he was declared the winner. Rockwell took it in stride, promising to govern in the interests of "all Virginians. Without reference to race, color, or creed." Despite his lofty, and seemingly earnest proclamations, many predicted dark days ahead.

    ---

    After two terms of Governor Dick Celeste, Ohio was looking rather good. It had avoided the race riots and violence of the other states. However the economy of the state was rather weak. Several major businesses went under near the end of the 1970's, and Celeste, while personally popular, had low ratings for his administration. The main Democratic candidate who ran to succeed him was former interm Cincinnati Mayor, Jerry Springer. He was backed by Robert Kennedy, who appeared in the state to promote his friend and former political advisory. While Kennedy was no longer politically active himself, having lost the Presidential primary and an NYC race, he worked actively to elect liberals across the US and maintained a large network of people.

    The narrow winner for the Republican nomination was Seth Chase Taft, aided by his first cousin Robert Taft Jr. who was also running that year, albeit for re-election as Senator. Both Taft's running statewide in 1982 were the grandsons of former President and Chief Justice William Howard Taft. Seth Taft's only major political experiences had been running for mayor of Cincinnati, which he lost to Carl B. Stokes, and serving as a Cuyahoga County Commissioner for eight years afterwards.

    The election turned into a proxy war, both sides accusing the other of illicit dealings and being legacy candidates. Taft was accused of only running because of his name and not because of any actual ideas, while Springer was tarred as a "Kennedy Liberal" who served as a puppet for the old New York Senator. Springer attacked Seth Taft as a brainless puppet of his cousin. "If we keep letting the Taft's take all the offices," Springer joked, "there won't be any left over for the rest of us!" The Seth Taft campaign accused Springer of hypocrisy, as the Kennedy family was expanding out into other states instead of staying inside Massachusetts. The campaign got very dirty near the end, both of them neck and neck, and an ad was released accusing Springer of taking city money while interm mayor, which backfired as the ad was accused of antisemitic stereotypes during it's very short run near the end of the campaign.

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    Springer narrowly beat Taft, winning by a plurality, with both having their votes siphoned off by minor left and right-wing candidates. The biggest being the National Conservative candidate who took nearly 3% of the vote, most of which probably came from Seth Taft. Despite a stronger National Conservative candidate for Senator, and receiving less votes then his cousin, Robert Taft Jr. narrowly prevailed for a third term in the Senate.

    ---

    After a narrow loss for state treasurer, Robert Budd Dwyer made a comeback by winning the Republican nomination for Governor two years later. Dwyer, a state rep for five years and a state senator for a decade, ran a tight and vigorous campaign. Incumbent Pennsylvania Governor Peter Flaherty, elected by a large margin in 1978, struggled with middling polls throughout the year. The economy was doing well, but many felt that was in spite of the Governor rather then because of him. The two were neck and neck for most of the year until the last few weeks. Then, Dwyer's candidacy was given a nice shot in the arm near the end of the campaign as Vice-President Black came to campaign for him and drew huge crowds for the two of them.

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    Dwyer and Scranton were nicknamed the Comeback Kids by Pennsylvania press, as Scranton was the failed 1978 Lieutenant Governor nominee, and Dwyer the failed 1980 Treasurer nominee. Originally dismissed as a pair of failures, combined they managed to score a win together.

    ---

    Being that the National Conservatives, in the Senate at least, were mostly Democrats who defected from the party, their former party worked long and hard to beat them. Frank Church, sometimes mocked as the Senate Plurality Leader by his enemies, said the Democratic Party's number one goal was to "crush them" in the new few years. However a big problem arose in the immediate elections. Many Democrats were upset at how their party was cozing up to Cohn and handing him rather important pieces of legislation: some of which included the ability for police to detain suspected mentally ill people more easily (to prevent people like Manson to pop back up in the future), an expansion of the federal death penalty, and an expansion on drug-related crimes.

    Unlike the libertarian MacBride, Cohn saw drugs and abortion as not personal matters, but things that affected many people and should be prohibited by the law. Cohn also revealed a bit of a softer side when it came to arrests, pushing for criminal rehabilitation and higher medical health standards, although some critics accused him of showing false compassion and lurching leftward to pursue Democratic votes.

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    While holding the House of Representatives, the Democrats lost four Senate seats that year to the Republicans, while the Republicans lost one (California) to the National Conservatives. The primary targets for the Democrats that year were John Stennis and Odell McBrayer, both National Conservatives, and of Mississippi and Texas each. Stennis received the backing of the state Republicans Party, who fielded a token candidate. McBrayer meanwhile won a close match between a well funded Republican and a well funded Democrat. Both of whom outspent McBrayer, who was forced to run a much harder ground game then his opponents.

    The fifteenth member of the Senate NC caucus was Bob Dornan, the sole new member elected that year. Dornan had been isolated from the California Republicans after his failed primary of President MacBride in 1980, and was blamed for the President's weak showing in the state. Eventually, after much prying, the California Conservative Party managed to convince him to run as Murphy's successor. Dornan won with a coalition of religious conservatives, pro-Dornan Republicans, and a few Democrats who felt their nominee (left wing Democrat Ron Dellums) was too outside California's center and couldn't beat Pete Wilson.

    The NCP, now held the balance of power to an evenly split Senate. They offered, in Jesse Helms' words, a form of "American supply and confidence" to the Republicans if they would a.) allow the NC a vote for the Senate Republican Leader, and b.) give them a quarter of the Chairmanships. For months the Republicans argued over whether or not to listen. President Cohn made little mention of the National Conservatives, or the inner workings of the Senate, saying "Congress's business isn't for the President to meddle in." That's not to say Cohn wasn't planning to 'get' his enemies, just not yet at least.
     
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    Update 20: 1983 elections and recalls
  • 1983 would go on to be known in political circles as the Year of the Recall. Two western Governors were recalled by their constituents in spite of being re-elected the year before, and one other in the East Coast (Virginia to be specific) managed to avoid it via the courts picking it apart and an eventual slow-down of public hate for their chief executive.

    The first man to face a recall that year was Governor Jesse Unruh of California, the most populated state in the United States. Elected in 1978 over Republican candidate Kathleen Brown (the daughter of a previous Democratic Governor, Pat Brown, and a former Democrat herself), and narrowly re-elected the previous year over a disunited conservative opposition, with Freedom Party candidate Bill Shearer narrowly edging out Republican Mike Curb. Unlike the Senate election of 1982, the Governors election was much less contested, with Curb and Shearer failing to provide any reasons why they could be better then Unruh and merely fighting each other over second place. One Democrat in the Assembly called it "victory on a silver platter." Very few expected Unruh to go under 50%, and quite a few were surprised when he received over 60%

    So when the Democrats repealed a voter backed proposal banning property tax increases, which they justified by the large hole in the state budget, they were floored by the strong reaction against it. Many expected backlash, but none expected the sheer magnitude of it. Within four months of the property tax raise the recall drive for Unruh and nearly a third of the Legislature was in full swing. Some expected Unruh to be the first Governor to be recalled since Lynn Frazier in 1921.

    In the dark days between the submission of the necessary signatures, and the election itself, a piece of news came in to save the California Democratic Party. It was found that, while many signatures from poor, minority, and heavily pro-Democratic areas were legal, a small group of business insiders, masked under the banner of the California Anti-Property Tax League, bribed numerous persons to sign the petitions. While Unruh and the Democrats could have ask the courts to throw away these signatures, which they did for the assemblymen and senators, but they refused to for the Gubernatorial recall. They saw this as their chance to strike back against their enemies.

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    Unruh turned what would have been otherwise a humiliating defeat over a tax raise into a populist victory, getting nearly 70% for a No vote. While the Democratic candidate Henry Waxman on the second ballot (asking who would succeed Unruh in the case of a Yes vote) narrowly beat Republican William Marshall Thomas, it still showed that even a filler candidate like Henry Waxman (who openly admitted he didn't intend to succeed Unruh and was only a placeholder for the Democratic Party) could be brought to victory when the people realize they've been duped.

    ---

    The other Democrat to be recalled that year was from the least populated in the United States, Wyoming. Governor Richard Bruce Cheney, or "Dick" Cheney, had been elected to the Governorship in 1978 and re-elected in 1982. Both elections were close affairs with the Democrats and Republicans gathering slightly under 40% of the vote, and the National Conservative Party clashing with the state-only Free Liberty Party (a self-described "libertarian conservative" vehicle which aimed to counter the "statism" in both major parties) for third place and as the outsider status. Dick Cheney appealed to the states liberal minority as well as her ranchers and centrist voters.

    Both his elections fell far short of a majority, but in a winner take all state a plurality was all that was needed. His term focused on cutting government waste, prosecuting fraud, and, contrary to a campaign promise, vetoing a severance tax on energy companies. To placate his liberal wing he advocated adding a recall feature to the state constitution to remove bad state officials. This would prove his undoing.

    After his second narrow re-election, a state reporter found evidence that Cheney had accepted nearly one-hundred thousand dollars in campaign contributions, under the table, by the same companies he vetoed a severance tax on. Only 10% of the voters in the previous election were needed to recall a state official, and plenty were happy to get rid of Cheney. The majority of that state saw him as a liar and a crook, even as he ran a strong television campaign claiming otherwise. The state recall allowed only two people to contest it, the incumbent official and a winner-take-all primary held a week before the recall. The Republicans ran former Governor Clifford Hansen who won the blanket primary with 55% of the vote.

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    Despite Cheney's tough TV, radio, and stump campaign, he still was wiped by Hansen. The once "Cowboy Governor" was now older, and more grey haired, but he accepted his duty to serve the state as Governor after nearly two decades out of that office

    ---

    One of the stranger names in the National Conservative Party family was Louisiana's affiliate: the American Independent Party. Originally founded as a vehicle for George Wallace in some states, it stuck around in Lousiana as a sort of alternate party for segregationists and other non-Democrats. When the National Conservative Party formed, they attached themselves to them despite the discomfort of some NCP leaders: They didn't want what was once an explicitly segregationist party to be their affiliate, and allowed them to work "in tandem" with the NCP as long as they would only contest in-state election (thus no Congressional or POTUS elections would have the AIP anywhere on it). John Rarick was elected as AIP Governor in 1975 against Governor Edwin Edwards, who was under arrest for a laundry list of crimes, and in re-elected in 1979 against a field of no-name candidates. Rarick was very polarizing, and Democrats saw this as their year to make a comeback.

    The nonpartisan blanket primary for Governor would have sent the two top ranking men up to second round if no one got a majority on the first round. Only two men received major coverage that year, both Democrats, of a sort. Despite legally being listed as a Democrat, and being with the party his whole life, the thirty-three year old David Duke was a literal Democrat In Name Only. He had attended AIP meetings for many years before this election, he had supported their candidates, and he had the backing of AIP leaders in 1983. If that weren't enough, Duke was then denounced by most major Democratic leaders as a leech and a liar for using their label. The major anti-Duke candidate was the son of former Governor John McKeithen, the thirty-seven year old Walter Fox McKeithen.

    Fox McKeithen wasn't the first choice of the Louisiana Democratic establishment. He was the fourth choice behind Edwin Edwards (still in jail yet rather popular with the state populace), Russel Long (who was interested, but held out hope for a 1984 Presidential nomination), and Hunt Downer (a popular state legislator, more of a dark horse then McKeithen but without the baggage of being a "Governors son", who declined). Still McKeithen took the nomination happily and worked hard to beat Duke in the first round.

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    With high black turnout, and Duke's continuous self-destroying comments, McKeithen won a closer then expected election. Rarick campaigned heavily for Duke, and railed against "Prince McKeithen's coronation." McKeithen ran a rather safe and limp campaign, making a few appearances across the state, and trying his hardest not to screw up. It was a strategy that worked, but only just barely.

    ---

    Before 1982, Mississippi was a state dominated by the Democrats on all levels, with the Republicans ranging from a close second before the 1960's, to a distant on after them. But in that year, many prominent Democrats and Republicans defected to the National Conservative Party. The Senate seat up that year was retained by party-switcher John Stennis; and three of the five House seats were won by National Conservative challengers, two of whom were former Democrats that switched in early 1982 and ran that year under their new party banner. The third man was a Republican incumbent who switched to join the House N.C. caucus in 1980.

    The Republican switcher, Trent Lott, was approached by party leaders to run for Governor. The Democratic Party was still reeling from the massive amounts of defections, and the Republicans lost whatever possible momentum they ever had: It was the perfect time to show the country how a young and articulate representative of the party could turn one of the poorest and most ungovernable states around. Even though Governor Cliff Finch had run the state rather well, and held high public-approval ratings, he was also out of commission after a brutal heart-attack. He had planned to run again in 1983, having managed to secure the repeal of the state term limit law, but was unable to take advantage of his victory.

    The Democratic party nominated former Governor William Lowe Waller, Sr., or better known as Bill Waller. Waller had served as Governor from 1972 to 1976 and had shut down the segregationist government agency known as the Mississippi State Sovereignty Commission by vetoing its appropriation. This act earned him the unending hate of the states Boll Weevils, who mostly defected to the Republicans in the 70's and again to the National Conservatives when they formed. Waller faced an uphill battle against the young, attractive Lott who polled far ahead of him early in the year.

    But then a third force appeared. Some expected the Republicans to not nominate anyone this election season and just sit it out. But instead they held a primary and nominated, with abysmally low turnout, civil rights leader James Charles Evers. Evers originally was a businessman who moved around the US at various points in his life. After his older brother Medgar Evers was killed by Byron De La Beckwith, a KKK member, he took up his brothers work and lead the state NAACP. Charles Evers was the first black mayor elected in post-Reconstruction Mississippi in the town of Fayette and spent several years working for the state black community. This isn't the first time Evers and Waller crossed paths, Waller tried Medgar Evers killer, but failed to prosecute him, and Evers ran as an Independent against Waller in 1971.

    Evers himself held no particular attachment to any of the three big parties in the state, and even confessed he ran as a Republican because it was such a lifeless affair that year he felt he could easily win it. The first poll after the three candidates were announced was 49% for Lott, 24% for Waller, 16% for Evers, and 11% undecided. The polls continued reflecting that for most of the year, a candidate maybe going up or down a number every poll, up until the very end. Lott fell down to 37% in one poll, Waller up to 34%, and Evers up to 29%. For most of the year Evers ran a hard campaign, with barely any money to spend he walked, drove, and hitchhiked his way across the state to meet with voters. He talked issues, he greeted low and high-packed crowds, but he barely received any attention by the media, in or out of state.

    Until late August that was. A news reporter asked him about the recent wave of recalls happening and if Evers thought Governor Rockwell ought to be recalled. Evers gave an impassioned defense of the man, stating "We all deserve a chance to prove ourselves [. . . ] I don't see why a man who never killed anyone, [and] never shied away from what he's said and done shouldn't have a chance to prove he means what he says. Evers also claimed that "A lot of them [he later clarified he meant the Virginia Democrats and Republicans] have a lot of blood on their hand, I haven't seen them cracking a bullwhip on their backs in atonement."

    Over night he became a celebrity, the civil rights leader who defended a former Nazi. Rockwell himself made a great deal out of his defense, hoping it would detract from his recall campaign (which was fighting to courts over the recall law) and publicly handed the man a $100 bill for his campaign. Later he stated that Evers was "a nice man. Pity he won't win." Rockwell, despite his still hard-right politics, appeared in a campaign ad for the very liberal Evers instead of fellow party member Trent Lott, something that earned the Virginia Governor the undying hatred of his party, and some respect from everyone else.

    The one to suffer most from Evers' rise was Waller, who earlier tried to convince the black man to drop out of the campaign and unite the anti-NC vote behind him. Waller gave a weak, rather lethargic candidacy and failed to keep most of his liberal audience as they gravitated toward the more strong-willed and energetic Evers. Lott saw his numbers free-falling and made some last minute attack ads meant to rally voters behind him. This proved even worse of an idea then doing nothing. Lott attacked Waller for failing to protect Mississippi's "traditional way of life" when he killed the MSSC, offending blacks and liberal whites who saw Lott pandering to the segregationist crowd.

    Lott went heavily overboard in hitting Evers, accusing him of "waving his brothers bloody shirt for political gain," and that "if [Evers] wins, Mississippian's will riot and burn down the state." The implicit idea that his state was so racist, they'd start a race war over a black man's election to the Governorship offended and alienated even staunch allies of Lott. One infamous ad featured a suburban housewife, surrounded by her husband and three kids, asking the audience "why should I vote for a man who's calling me and other conservatives a bunch of racists and rioters? I don't think that's the kind of man I want leading my state."

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    Evers freely admitted that Lott "would have been Governor if he learned to shut his damn mouth." What could have been an easy election for Trent Lott and the National Conservative Party ended up backfiring spectacularly. Not only did he place third, he ended up severally humiliating his party (still trying to wash off the claims they were "New Confederates") and he also helped elect a black man as Governor to one of the most staunchly white supremacist states in the old Deep South. Lott bitterly complained after the election that "this is why our Founding Fathers distrusted Democracy. They knew the most stupid and unqualified men would be bamboozled into electing a con man." Evers made fun of him after hearing that, saying to a friend "Those are the words of a man who knows he can never show his face in public again."

    Rockwell was among the first to send a congratulations to Evers, and warning him to keep a gun handy at all times. "You know what the people of your state are like." Indeed many did start protesting, often with nooses and flaming objects, and prematurely demanding Evers' resignation. One high-ranking state legislator asked how was it fair that a man elected with barely over a third of the vote, most of it the black vote, was supposed to represent the states white majority.

    The State Legislature worked hard over the next few years to oppose Evers and to make sure another election like this wouldn't happen again. They started by moving the election to Presidential years (also hoping to make Evers a one year Governor if they passed it fast enough, which failed to pass by the Supreme Court who instead extended his term to five years) and establishing a gubernatorial runoff if no one gained more then 50% of the vote. Many even wanted to strip the Governor of any and all powers, including the veto, the pardon (which some claimed would be needed before Evers freed every black man from prison), and the power to fill vacancies.

    Evers had a long and hard road ahead of himself. First black man to be elected Governor, and to one of the poorest and worst-off states in the Union. But he was confident even with low public support, an extremely hostile state legislature, and little money behind him, he could cobble together some kind of solution for the Magnolia State's many problems.
     
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