And we have to consider possible dissensions on the moroccan side.
Apparently the regent wasn't popular before the siege, so we can surmise that not everyone was eager to fight.
Certainly, the british strategy is to deny resources to Napoleon, they would try to take ports in Brazil, Angola and Mozambique. Probably would annex Goa and Timor Leste.
To deny access to the french, british captures brazilian ports.
After 1815, devolves back to Portugal.
No royal family in Brazil, no road to independence here for a while, we would still be a colony of Portugal for more time.
First, no Brasilia.
Second, end of Petrobras, he was one of the "Entreguistas".
Third, a slight less industrialized Brazil.
All that i have to contribute right now.
I dont think any argentinean help could be decisive, giving the fact Argentina is a decentralized country and probably that help will be given by a couple of neighbour Governors.
And Uruguay and Argentina was in state of latent civil war between Blancos and Colorados at the period, so no...
Both revolutions/revolts can only suceed if England intervenes in favor of rebels/revolutionaries (Cabanagem plausible, Ragamuffin not very much so). But at this point in time (1840s) the English already plotted (in 1828) to grant independence to Uruguay, and the montevidean elites are rivals to...